Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36509888›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2022

An improved prognostic model for predicting the mortality of critically ill patients: a retrospective cohort study.

Xianming Zhang, Rui Yang, Yuanfei Tan, Yaoliang Zhou, Biyun Lu, Xiaoying Ji, Hongda Chen, Jinwen Cai

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Xianming Zhang *Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang City, Guizhou Province, China.
Rui Yang *Department of Endocrinology, Guiyang First People's Hospital, Guiyang City, Guizhou Province, China.
Yuanfei TanDepartment of Emergency, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, China.
Yaoliang ZhouDepartment of Emergency, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, China.
Biyun LuDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang City, Guizhou Province, China.
Xiaoying JiDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang City, Guizhou Province, China. 183572401@qq.com.
Hongda ChenDepartment of Traditional Chinese Medicine, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, China. chenhd23@mail.sysu.edu.cn.
Jinwen CaiDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Third Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha City, Hunan Province, China. 297161523@qq.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A simple prognostic model is needed for ICU patients. This study aimed to construct a modified prognostic model using easy-to-use indexes for prediction of the 28-day mortality of critically ill patients. Clinical information of ICU patients included in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database were collected. After identifying independent risk factors for 28-day mortality, an improved mortality prediction model (mionl-MEWS) was constructed with multivariate logistic regression. We evaluated the predictive performance of mionl-MEWS using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), internal validation and fivefold cross validation. A nomogram was used for rapid calculation of predicted risks. A total of 51,121 patients were included with 34,081 patients in the development cohort and 17,040 patients in the validation cohort (17,040 patients). Six predictors, including Modified Early Warning Score, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, lactate, international normalized ratio, osmolarity level and metastatic cancer were integrated to construct the mionl-MEWS model with AUROC of 0.717 and 0.908 for the development and validation cohorts respectively. The mionl-MEWS model showed good validation capacities with clinical utility. The developed mionl-MEWS model yielded good predictive value for prediction of 28-day mortality in critically ill patients for assisting decision-making in ICU patients.

Indexed as

Critical IllnessIntensive Care UnitsArea Under CurveHumansPrognosisRetrospective StudiesROC Curve

Identifiers

PMID36509888
PMCPMC9744859

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.