Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36509742›Full record

ArticleNature communications2022

Different roles of concurring climate and regional land-use changes in past 40 years' insect trends.

Felix Neff, Fränzi Korner-Nievergelt, Emmanuel Rey, Matthias Albrecht, Kurt Bollmann, Fabian Cahenzli, Yannick Chittaro, Martin M Gossner, Carlos Martínez-Núñez, Eliane S Meier and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Arthropod species loss underpins biomass declines.Nature ecology & evolution · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Effects of land cover and protected areas on flying insect diversity.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Effects of nocturnal celestial illumination on high-flying migrant insects.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Predicting the responses of European grassland communities to climate and land cover change.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Felix NeffAgroecology and Environment, Agroscope, Reckenholzstrasse 191, 8046, Zürich, Switzerland. mail@felixneff.ch.ORCID 0000-0001-7266-2589
Fränzi Korner-NievergeltSwiss Ornithological Institute, Seerose 1, 6204, Sempach, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-9081-3563
Emmanuel Reyinfo fauna, Avenue de Bellevaux 51, 2000, Neuchâtel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-0026-7007
Matthias AlbrechtAgroecology and Environment, Agroscope, Reckenholzstrasse 191, 8046, Zürich, Switzerland.
Kurt BollmannBiodiversity and Conservation Biology, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Zürcherstrasse 111, 8903, Birmensdorf, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-4690-7121
Fabian CahenzliDepartment of Crop Sciences, Research Institute of Organic Agriculture FiBL, Ackerstrasse 113, 5070, Frick, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-4376-2246
Yannick Chittaroinfo fauna, Avenue de Bellevaux 51, 2000, Neuchâtel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-0236-5110
Martin M GossnerForest Entomology, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Zürcherstrasse 111, 8903, Birmensdorf, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-1516-6364
Carlos Martínez-NúñezAgroecology and Environment, Agroscope, Reckenholzstrasse 191, 8046, Zürich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7814-4985
Eliane S MeierAgroecology and Environment, Agroscope, Reckenholzstrasse 191, 8046, Zürich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-9545-1167
Christian Monneratinfo fauna, Avenue de Bellevaux 51, 2000, Neuchâtel, Switzerland.
Marco MorettiBiodiversity and Conservation Biology, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Zürcherstrasse 111, 8903, Birmensdorf, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-5845-3198
Tobias RothDepartment of Environmental Sciences, Zoology, University of Basel, Vesalgasse 1, 4051, Basel, Switzerland.
Felix HerzogAgroecology and Environment, Agroscope, Reckenholzstrasse 191, 8046, Zürich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-9472-4891
Eva KnopAgroecology and Environment, Agroscope, Reckenholzstrasse 191, 8046, Zürich, Switzerland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate and land-use changes are main drivers of insect declines, but their combined effects have not yet been quantified over large spatiotemporal scales. We analysed changes in the distribution (mean occupancy of squares) of 390 insect species (butterflies, grasshoppers, dragonflies), using 1.45 million records from across bioclimatic gradients of Switzerland between 1980 and 2020. We found no overall decline, but strong increases and decreases in the distributions of different species. For species that showed strongest increases (25% quantile), the average proportion of occupied squares increased in 40 years by 0.128 (95% credible interval: 0.123-0.132), which equals an average increase in mean occupancy of 71.3% (95% CI: 67.4-75.1%) relative to their 40-year mean occupancy. For species that showed strongest declines (25% quantile), the average proportion decreased by 0.0660 (95% CI: 0.0613-0.0709), equalling an average decrease in mean occupancy of 58.3% (95% CI: 52.2-64.4%). Decreases were strongest for narrow-ranged, specialised, and cold-adapted species. Short-term distribution changes were associated to both climate changes and regional land-use changes. Moreover, interactive effects between climate and regional land-use changes confirm that the various drivers of global change can have even greater impacts on biodiversity in combination than alone. In contrast, 40-year distribution changes were not clearly related to regional land-use changes, potentially reflecting mixed changes in local land use after 1980. Climate warming however was strongly linked to 40-year changes, indicating its key role in driving insect trends of temperate regions in recent decades.

Indexed as

ButterfliesOdonataAnimalsBiodiversityBirdsClimate ChangeEcosystem

Identifiers

PMID36509742
PMCPMC9744861

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.