Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36508668›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2022

No evidence for persistent natural plague reservoirs in historical and modern Europe.

Nils Chr Stenseth, Yuxin Tao, Chutian Zhang, Barbara Bramanti, Ulf Büntgen, Xianbin Cong, Yujun Cui, Hu Zhou, Lorna A Dawson, Sacha J Mooney and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. A refined phylochronology of the second plague pandemic in Western Eurasia.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Abundance ofPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
    Article
  3. Review
  4. Emergence, global dispersal, and local adaptations ofApplied and environmental microbiology · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. China's public health initiatives for climate change adaptation.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2023
    Review
  11. Reply to Alfani: Reconstructing past plague ecology to understand human history.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  12. A step forward toward solving the main mysteries in the history of plague?Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  13. Zoonoses (Shannon, Ireland) · 2023
    Article
  14. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Nils Chr StensethDepartment of Biosciences, Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis, University of Oslo, Oslo 0316, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-1591-5399
Yuxin TaoDepartment of Industrial Engineering, Center for Statistical Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Chutian ZhangVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.ORCID 0000-0002-7510-6075
Barbara BramantiDepartment of Biosciences, Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis, University of Oslo, Oslo 0316, Norway.
Ulf BüntgenDepartment of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3EN, UK.
Xianbin CongThe First Institute of Endemic Disease Control and Prevention of Jilin Province, Baicheng 137000, Jilin Province, China.
Yujun CuiState Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing 100071, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7236-2412
Hu ZhouDepartment of Soil and Water Sciences, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China.
Lorna A DawsonForensic Soil Science Group, James Hutton Institute, Aberdeen AB15 8QH, UK.
Sacha J MooneySchool of Biosciences, University of Nottingham, Loughborough, Leics LE12 5RD, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9314-8113
Dong LiDepartment of Industrial Engineering, Center for Statistical Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Henry G FellSchool of Geography, University of Nottingham, University Park, Nottingham NG7 2RD, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6009-4270
Samuel CohnDepartment of History, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4490-5034
Florent SebbaneUniv. Lille, CNRS, Inserm, CHU Lille, Institut Pasteur Lille, U1019 - UMR 9017 - CIIL - Center for Infection and Immunity of Lille, Lille F-59000, France.ORCID 0000-0003-3811-9691
Philip SlavinDivision of History and Politics, University of Stirling, Stirling FK9 4LJ, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6460-145X
Wannian LiangVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Howell TongDepartment of Industrial Engineering, Center for Statistical Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Ruifu YangState Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing 100071, China.
Lei XuVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Caused by

Indexed as

PlagueYersinia pestisClimateDisease ReservoirsEuropeHumansPandemicsSoilSoilenvironmental conditionsEuropenatural plague reservoirsrodent diversityYersinia pestis

Identifiers

PMID36508668
PMCPMC9907128

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.