ArticleJournal of economic dynamics & control2023
The long-term impact of the COVID-19 unemployment shock on life expectancy and mortality rates.
Article in Journal of economic dynamics & control, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 58 citations in OpenAlex.
- Employment Status and Alcohol-Attributable Mortality Risk-A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Pooled it
- Economic Policy Uncertainty and Health: Empirical Evidence from the MIDAS Model.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Long-term outcomes following a pulmonary telerehabilitation trial for people with respiratory post-acute sequelae of COVID: a 12-month follow-up study.Journal of rehabilitation medicine · 2026Article
- Moral Injury and COVID-Related Stress Among Post-9/11 Veterans: Examining Longitudinal Associations.Stress and health : journal of the International Society for the Investigation of Stress · 2025Article
- Children's Emotion Regulation and Subjective Stress During the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Intergenerational Perspective Among Racially and Economically Minoritized Mother-Child Dyads in the United States.Child & youth care forum · 2025Article
- Pre-COVID-19 Geographic Inequalities in Non-Hispanic Black US Life Expectancy, 1990 to 2019.Population and development review · 2025Article
- Investigating the Trend of Mortality, Life Expectancy and Excessive Death with Emphasis on the Role of the COVID-19 Pandemic Period in the Isfahan Province: A Cross-sectional Study of Join Point Regression Analysis 2011-2021.Archives of Iranian medicine · 2025Article
- Relationship between economic recessions and health inequity: analysis of the gap in life expectancy at birth between Mexican States.Health economics review · 2025Article
- Veteran Reports of Anxiety and Depression Before, During, and After COVID-19: Associations With Race/Ethnicity, Gender, and Traumatic Exposures.Depression and anxiety · 2025Article
- Preparing the occupational safety and health workforce for future disruptions.American journal of industrial medicine · 2024Article
- Should infectious disease modelling research be subject to ethics review?Philosophy, ethics, and humanities in medicine : PEHM · 2023Article
- Pandemic-Related Stress May Be Associated with Symptoms of Poor Mental Health Among African Americans.Journal of racial and ethnic health disparities · 2023Article
- One Pandemic, Two Solutions: Comparing the U.S.-China Response and Health Priorities to COVID-19 from the Perspective of "Two Types of Control".Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- The challenge of estimating the direct and indirect effects of COVID-19 interventions - Toward an integrated economic and epidemiological approach.Economics and human biology · 2023Review
- D-Cov19Net: A DNN based COVID-19 detection system using lung sound.Journal of computational science · 2023Article
- Associations of COVID-19 Related Work Stressors with Psychological Distress: Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Californian Workers.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- What cannot be cured must be endured: The long-lasting effect of a COVID-19 infection on workplace productivity.Labour economics · 2022Article
- Characterizing the Landscape of Safety Net Programs and Policies in California during the COVID-19 Pandemic.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Unemployment and COVID-19-related mortality: a historical cohort study of 50,000 COVID-19 patients in Fars, Iran.Epidemiology and health · 2022Article
- Examining Employment Conditions During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Pasifika Communities.Health equity · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We adopt a time series approach to investigate the historical relation between unemployment, life expectancy, and mortality rates. We fit Vector-autoregressions for the overall US population and for groups identified based on gender and race. We use our results to assess the long-run effects of the COVID-19 economic recession on mortality and life expectancy. We estimate the size of the COVID-19-related unemployment shock to be between 2 and 5 times larger than the typical unemployment shock, depending on race and gender, resulting in a significant increase in mortality rates and drop in life expectancy. We also predict that the shock will disproportionately affect African-Americans and women, over a short horizon, while the effects for white men will unfold over longer horizons. These figures translate in more than 0.8 million additional deaths over the next 15 years.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.