Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36498805›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical medicine2022

Machine Learning Model Development and Validation for Predicting Outcome in Stage 4 Solid Cancer Patients with Septic Shock Visiting the Emergency Department: A Multi-Center, Prospective Cohort Study.

Byuk Sung Ko, Sanghoon Jeon, Donghee Son, Sung-Hyuk Choi, Tae Gun Shin, You Hwan Jo, Seung Mok Ryoo, Youn-Jung Kim, Yoo Seok Park, Woon Yong Kwon and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Byuk Sung KoDepartment of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Hanyang University, Seoul 04763, Republic of Korea.
Sanghoon JeonDepartment of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Hanyang University, Seoul 04763, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-3404-0751
Donghee SonResearch Coordinating Center, Konkok University Medical Center, Seoul 05030, Republic of Korea.
Sung-Hyuk ChoiDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Korea University Guro Hospital, Seoul 08308, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-6686-6937
Tae Gun ShinDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul 06351, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-9657-1040
You Hwan JoDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam 13620, Republic of Korea.
Seung Mok RyooDepartment of Emergency Medicine, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, Seoul 05505, Republic of Korea.
Youn-Jung KimDepartment of Emergency Medicine, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, Seoul 05505, Republic of Korea.
Yoo Seok ParkDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-1543-4664
Woon Yong KwonDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul 03080, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-3343-5030
Gil Joon SuhDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul 03080, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-5163-2217
Tae Ho LimDepartment of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Hanyang University, Seoul 04763, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-1045-413X
Won Young KimDepartment of Emergency Medicine, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, Seoul 05505, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-6904-5966
Korean Shock Society (KoSS) Investigators

Funding

Korean government (MSIT), Bio & Medical Technology Development Program of the National Research Foundation (NRF) NRF- 2019M3E5D1A01066060
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A reliable prognostic score for minimizing futile treatments in advanced cancer patients with septic shock is rare. A machine learning (ML) model to classify the risk of advanced cancer patients with septic shock is proposed and compared with the existing scoring systems. A multi-center, retrospective, observational study of the septic shock registry in patients with stage 4 cancer was divided into a training set and a test set in a 7:3 ratio. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. The best ML model was determined using a stratified 10-fold cross-validation in the training set. A total of 897 patients were included, and the 28-day mortality was 26.4%. The best ML model in the training set was balanced random forest (BRF), with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.821 to predict 28-day mortality. The AUC of the BRF to predict the 28-day mortality in the test set was 0.859. The AUC of the BRF was significantly higher than those of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (both p < 0.001). The ML model outperformed the existing scores for predicting 28-day mortality in stage 4 cancer patients with septic shock. However, further studies are needed to improve the prediction algorithm and to validate it in various countries. This model might support clinicians in real-time to adopt appropriate levels of care.

Indexed as

cancer patientmachine learningprognosisseptic shock

Identifiers

PMID36498805
PMCPMC9737041

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.