Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36497327›Full record

ArticleCancers2022

Secular Trends in Incidence of Esophageal Cancer in Taiwan from 1985 to 2019: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.

Min-Chen Tsai, Yu-Ching Chou, Yu-Kwang Lee, Wan-Lun Hsu, Chin-Sheng Tang, Shiow-Ying Chen, Shih-Pei Huang, Yong-Chen Chen, Jang-Ming Lee

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancers, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 22% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Min-Chen TsaiSchool of Medicine, College of Medicine, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City 242008, Taiwan.
Yu-Ching ChouSchool of Public Health, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei 11490, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0003-4823-6541
Yu-Kwang LeeDivision of General Surgery, Department of Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei 100225, Taiwan.
Wan-Lun HsuMaster Program of Big Data in Biomedicine, College of Medicine, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City 242008, Taiwan.
Chin-Sheng TangDepartment of Public Health, College of Medicine, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City 242008, Taiwan.
Shiow-Ying ChenDepartment of Medical Research, Fu Jen Catholic University Hospital, New Taipei City 24352, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0002-3524-0296
Shih-Pei HuangDepartment of Medical Education & Bioethics, Graduate Institute of Medical Education & Bioethics, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei 10051, Taiwan.
Yong-Chen ChenMaster Program of Big Data in Biomedicine, College of Medicine, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City 242008, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0003-1007-3003
Jang-Ming LeeDepartment of Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital and National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei 100225, Taiwan.
Fu Jen Catholic University · TWNational Taiwan University Hospital · TWNational Defense Medical Center · TWNational Taiwan University · TW

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In Taiwan, the age-standardized incidence of EC, especially esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), has increased substantially during the past thirty years. We described the incidence trends of EC from 1985−2019 by an average annual percentage change (AAPC) and age-period-cohort model by using Taiwan Cancer Registry data. Age-period-cohort modeling was used to estimate the period and cohort effects of ESCC and esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). The Spearman’s correlation coefficient was used to analyze the correlation between age-adjusted incidence rates of EC and the prevalence of risk factors from national surveys. The results showed the incidence rate of ESCC in men (AAPC = 4.2, 95% CI = 3.1−5.4, p < 0.001) increased prominently from 1985−1989 to 2015−2019 while that of EAC in men (AAPC = 1.2, 95% CI = 0.9−1.5, p < 0.001) and ESCC in women (AAPC = 1.7, 95% CI = 1.4−2.1, p < 0.001) increased to a lesser degree. Increased period effects were observed in ESCC in men, ESCC in women, and EAC in men. High correlations were found between the risk factors and the increased birth-cohort effects of ESCC (p < 0.05). To conclude, the incidence of ESCC in both sex and EAC in men increased with statistical significance in recent decades. The increased prevalence of risk factors from approximately 1970−1995 could explain the increased cohort effects of ESCC.

Indexed as

adenocarcinomaage-period-cohortesophageal cancerincidencerisk factorssquamous cell carcinoma

Identifiers

PMID36497327
PMCPMC9741308
OpenAlexW4310056700

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.