Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36494644›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2022

A comparison of clinical development pathways to advance tuberculosis regimen development.

V Chang, P P J Phillips, M Z Imperial, P Nahid, R M Savic

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

V Chang *Department of Bioengineering and Therapeutic Sciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA. vincent.chang@ucsf.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7984-1192
P P J Phillips *UCSF Center for Tuberculosis, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
M Z ImperialDepartment of Bioengineering and Therapeutic Sciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
P NahidUCSF Center for Tuberculosis, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
R M SavicDepartment of Bioengineering and Therapeutic Sciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.

Funding

Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation OPP1776259
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCurrent tuberculosis (TB) regimen development pathways are slow and in urgent need of innovation. We investigated novel phase IIc and seamless phase II/III trials utilizing multi-arm multi-stage and Bayesian response adaptive randomization trial designs to select promising combination regimens in a platform adaptive trial.

methodsClinical trial simulation tools were built using predictive and validated parametric survival models of time to culture conversion (intermediate endpoint) and time to TB-related unfavorable outcome (final endpoint). This integrative clinical trial simulation tool was used to explore and optimize design parameters for aforementioned trial designs.

resultsBoth multi-arm multi-stage and Bayesian response adaptive randomization designs were able to reliably graduate desirable regimens in ≥ 95% of trial simulations and reliably stop suboptimal regimens in ≥ 90% of trial simulations. Overall, adaptive phase IIc designs reduced patient enrollment by 17% and 25% with multi-arm multi-stage and Bayesian response adaptive randomization designs respectively compared to the conventional sequential approach, while seamless designs reduced study duration by 2.6 and 3.5 years respectively (typically ≥ 8.5 years for standard sequential approach).

conclusionsIn this study, we demonstrate that adaptive trial designs are suitable for TB regimen development, and we provide plausible design parameters for a platform adaptive trial. Ultimately trial design and specification of design parameters will depend on clinical trial objectives. To support decision-making for clinical trial designs in contemporary TB regimen development, we provide a flexible clinical trial simulation tool that can be used to explore and optimize design features and parameters.

Indexed as

Research DesignTuberculosisAdaptive Clinical Trials as TopicBayes TheoremComputer SimulationHumansRandom AllocationAdaptive Clinical TrialsClinical Trial DesignTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID36494644
PMCPMC9733404

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.