Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36490334›Full record

ArticleScience advances2022

Addressing census data problems in race imputation via fully Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding and name supplements.

Kosuke Imai, Santiago Olivella, Evan T R Rosenman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

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  7. Inferring Unknown Race in Central Cancer Registries.Journal of registry management · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Kosuke ImaiDepartment of Government and Department of Statistics, Institute for Quantitative of Social Science, Harvard University, 1737 Cambridge Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2748-1022
Santiago OlivellaDepartment of Political Science, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, 27599, USA.
Evan T R RosenmanHarvard Data Science Initiative, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, 02138, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5885-2925

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Prediction of individuals' race and ethnicity plays an important role in studies of racial disparity. Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG), which relies on detailed census information, has emerged as a leading methodology for this prediction task. Unfortunately, BISG suffers from two data problems. First, the census often contains zero counts for minority groups in the locations where members of those groups reside. Second, many surnames-especially those of minorities-are missing from the census data. We introduce a fully Bayesian BISG (fBISG) methodology that accounts for census measurement error by extending the naïve Bayesian inference of the BISG methodology. We also use additional data on last, first, and middle names taken from the voter files of six Southern states where self-reported race is available. Our empirical validation shows that the fBISG methodology and name supplements substantially improve the accuracy of race imputation, especially for racial minorities.

Identifiers

PMID36490334
PMCPMC11318662

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.