ArticleWorld journal of cardiology2022
Risk stratification of patients who present with chest pain and have normal troponins using a machine learning model.
Article in World journal of cardiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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2 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.
- Artificial intelligence for early diagnosis in emergency department.Journal of anesthesia, analgesia and critical care · 2026Review
- Machine Learning Models for Predicting in-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Comparative Analysis with Logistic Regression.International journal of general medicine · 2025Article
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3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
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Abstract
backgroundRisk stratification tools exist for patients presenting with chest pain to the emergency room and have achieved the recommended negative predictive value (NPV) of 99%. However, due to low positive predictive value (PPV), current stratification tools result in unwarranted investigations such as serial laboratory tests and cardiac stress tests (CSTs).
aimTo create a machine learning model (MLM) for risk stratification of chest pain with a better PPV.
methodsThis retrospective cohort study used de-identified hospital data from January 2016 until November 2021. Inclusion criteria were patients aged > 21 years who presented to the ER, had at least two serum troponins measured, were subsequently admitted to the hospital, and had a CST within 4 d of presentation. Exclusion criteria were elevated troponin value (> 0.05 ng/mL) and missing values for body mass index. The primary outcome was abnormal CST. Demographics, coronary artery disease (CAD) history, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, obesity, and smoking were evaluated as potential risk factors for abnormal CST. Patients were also categorized into a high-risk group (CAD history or more than two risk factors) and a low-risk group (all other patients) for comparison. Bivariate analysis was performed using a
resultsThe final cohort of the study included 2328 patients, of which 245 (10.52%) patients had abnormal CST. When adjusted for covariates in the BR model, male sex [risk ratio (RR) = 1.52, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.2-1.94,
conclusionThe XGBoost MLM achieved a PPV of 24.33% for an abnormal CST, which is better than current stratification tools (13.00%-17.50%). This highlights the beneficial potential of MLMs in clinical decision-making.
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