Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36481056›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of surgery2023

Predictors of mortality for perforated peptic ulcer disease in Malawi.

Selena J An, Dylane Davis, Linda Kayange, Jared Gallaher, Anthony Charles

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of surgery, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Emergency department evaluation of immature granulocytes for complicated acute appendicitis: a retrospective cohort study.Ulusal travma ve acil cerrahi dergisi = Turkish journal of trauma & emergency surgery : TJTES · 2026
    Article
  3. Prognostic value of the HALP score in patients undergoing emergency surgery for gastroduodenal perforation.Ulusal travma ve acil cerrahi dergisi = Turkish journal of trauma & emergency surgery : TJTES · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Selena J AnDepartment of Surgery, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 4001 Burnett Womack Building, CB 7050, Chapel Hill, NC, 27599, USA.
Dylane DavisSchool of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 1001 Bondurant Hall, CB 9535, Chapel Hill, NC, 27599, USA.
Linda KayangeDepartment of Surgery, Kamuzu Central Hospital, Private Bag 149, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Jared GallaherDepartment of Surgery, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 4001 Burnett Womack Building, CB 7050, Chapel Hill, NC, 27599, USA.
Anthony CharlesDepartment of Surgery, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 4001 Burnett Womack Building, CB 7050, Chapel Hill, NC, 27599, USA; Department of Surgery, Kamuzu Central Hospital, Private Bag 149, Lilongwe, Malawi. Electronic address: anthchar@med.unc.edu.

Funding

UJMT – ORWH – Gazzetta, Issa-BoubeD43TW009340 · FIC · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI William Checkley, Benjamin H. Chi · 2017 to 2026
$14.8M
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW009340
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMortality from perforated peptic ulcer disease (PUD) remains high, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. We sought to identify predictors of mortality following surgery for perforated PUD.

methodsWe performed a retrospective study of acute care surgeries at Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH) in Malawi from 2013 to 2022. Patients undergoing omental patch surgeries were included. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were used to model predictors of mortality.

resultsA total of 248 patients were included. The mean age was 30 ± 15 years. Ninety percent were male. Mortality rate was 22.2%. Predictors of mortality included age (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 1.06, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-1.09), shock index (AOR 1.86, 95% CI 1.14-3.03), days to operative intervention (AOR 1.44, 95% CI 1.10-1.88), and presence of complications (AOR 9.65, 95% CI 3.79-24.6).

conclusionsMortality following surgery for perforated PUD remains high in this low-resource environment. In-hospital delay is a significant and modifiable predictor of mortality.

Indexed as

Peptic Ulcer PerforationAdolescentAdultFemaleHumansMalawiMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsYoung AdultMalawiPeptic ulcer diseasePerforationSurgery

Identifiers

PMID36481056
PMCPMC10209347

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.