Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36478843›Full record

ArticleHeliyon2022

Age-specific transmission for different virus serotypes of hand, foot and mouth disease and the impact of interventions in East China, 2009-2015.

Jiaxu Le, Jie Hong, Zheng Zhao, Yue Chen, Yi Hu, Zhaorui Chang, Zhijie Zhang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heliyon, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Jiaxu LeDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Jie HongDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Zheng ZhaoDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Yue ChenSchool of Epidemiology, Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada.
Yi HuDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Zhaorui ChangDivision of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Zhijie ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Fudan University · CNChinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention · CNMinistry of Education of the People's Republic of China · CNUniversity of Ottawa · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) remains an important public health problem in China. Understandings of age-specific transmission for different virus serotypes of the disease and assessment of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) for HFMD are helpful for disease control, but they have been seldom considered. Here we further investigate transmission dynamics of HFMD and quantify the effects of NPIs and vaccination on the disease transmission. Methods: We extracted information of reported HFMD cases from 2009 to 2015 in East China. Age-specific force of infection (FoI) was used to describe the transmission characteristics for serotypes (EV-A71, CV-A16 and other enterovirus). We used an age-structured Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed (SEIR) model to simulate how interventions affect HFMD outbreaks. Results: 4,096,270 HFMD cases were included, and 160619 cases were confirmed for virus serotypes. The peaks of infections always occurred in even-numbered years. CV-A16 and EV-A71 showed a similar trend, children aged 1 or 2 years generally had the highest FoI, but there were no clear patterns for other enterovirus. Simulations showed that school break could dramatically decline the average incidence. When combined with social interventions, it would further reduce the incidence, but the effect is not apparent. When vaccine rate is over or equal to 20%, the incidence would be lower than taking NPIs. Conclusion: More attention should be paid to children under 2 years of age in the prevention and control of HFMD. Compared to NPIs, vaccination is more effective.

Indexed as

Dynamic modelEast ChinaForce of infectionHFMDInterventionsSerotype

Identifiers

PMID36478843
PMCPMC9720006
OpenAlexW4311028128

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.