Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36477305›Full record

ArticleEuropean heart journal2023

Lifetime risk of comorbidity in patients with simple congenital heart disease: a Danish nationwide study.

Mohamad El-Chouli, Alessandra Meddis, Daniel M Christensen, Thomas A Gerds, Thomas Sehested, Morten Malmborg, Matthew Phelps, Casper N Bang, Ole Ahlehoff, Christian Torp-Pedersen and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European heart journal, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  10. Review
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  12. Genomic analysis of 11,555 probands identifies 60 dominant congenital heart disease genes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Morbidity Burden in Patients With Ebstein Anomaly: The Natural History.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2024
    Article
  16. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Mohamad El-ChouliDanish Heart Foundation, Vognmagergade 7, 1120 Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0001-6022-1380
Alessandra MeddisSection of Biostatistics, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-0520-0701
Daniel M ChristensenDanish Heart Foundation, Vognmagergade 7, 1120 Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-4029-1060
Thomas A GerdsDanish Heart Foundation, Vognmagergade 7, 1120 Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-5955-816X
Thomas SehestedDanish Heart Foundation, Vognmagergade 7, 1120 Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-0564-0237
Morten MalmborgDanish Heart Foundation, Vognmagergade 7, 1120 Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-4838-2031
Matthew PhelpsDanish Heart Foundation, Vognmagergade 7, 1120 Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-0344-2026
Casper N BangDepartment of Cardiology, Bispebjerg and Frederiksberg Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-4618-6096
Ole AhlehoffDepartment of Cardiology, The Heart Centre, Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-1526-8160
Christian Torp-PedersenDepartments of Clinical Investigation and Cardiology, North Zealand University Hospital, Hillerød, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-2892-6131
Caroline Sindet-PedersenDepartment of Cardiology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Herlev and Gentofte, Herlev, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0001-9130-3506
Jakob RaunsøDepartment of Cardiology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Herlev and Gentofte, Herlev, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-7275-2477
Lars IdornDepartment of Pediatric Cardiology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Gunnar GislasonDanish Heart Foundation, Vognmagergade 7, 1120 Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-0548-402X

Funding

Danish Heart Foundation A8874-18-20207
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsIn a continuously ageing population of patients with congenital heart disease (CHD), understanding the long-term risk of morbidity is crucial. The aim of this study was to compare the lifetime risks of developing comorbidities in patients with simple CHD and matched controls. METHODS AND

resultsUsing the Danish nationwide registers spanning from 1977 to 2018, simple CHD cases were defined as isolated atrial septal defect (ASD), ventricular septal defect (VSD), pulmonary stenosis, or patent ductus arteriosus in patients surviving until at least 5 years of age. There were 10 controls identified per case. Reported were absolute lifetime risks and lifetime risk differences (between patients with simple CHD and controls) of incident comorbidities stratified by groups and specific cardiovascular comorbidities. Of the included 17 157 individuals with simple CHD, the largest subgroups were ASD (37.7%) and VSD (33.9%), and 52% were females. The median follow-up time for patients with CHD was 21.2 years (interquartile range: 9.4-39.0) and for controls, 19.8 years (9.0-37.0). The lifetime risks for the investigated comorbidities were higher and appeared overall at younger ages for simple CHD compared with controls, except for neoplasms and chronic kidney disease. The lifetime risk difference among the comorbidity groups was highest for neurological disease (male: 15.2%, female: 11.3%), pulmonary disease (male: 9.1%, female: 11.7%), and among the specific comorbidities for stroke (male: 18.9%, female: 11.4%). The overall risk of stroke in patients with simple CHD was mainly driven by ASD (male: 28.9%, female: 17.5%), while the risks of myocardial infarction and heart failure were driven by VSD. The associated lifetime risks of stroke, myocardial infarction, and heart failure in both sexes were smaller in invasively treated patients compared with untreated patients with simple CHD.

conclusionPatients with simple CHD had increased lifetime risks of all comorbidities compared with matched controls, except for neoplasms and chronic kidney disease. These findings highlight the need for increased attention towards early management of comorbidity risk factors.

Indexed as

Heart Defects, CongenitalHeart FailureHeart Septal Defects, AtrialHeart Septal Defects, VentricularMyocardial InfarctionStrokeComorbidityDenmarkFemaleHumansMaleAdult congenital heart diseaseComorbidity burdenEpidemiologyLifetime risksMortalityProceduresRegister studiesSurgery

Identifiers

PMID36477305
PMCPMC9976987

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.