Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36477188›Full record

ArticleNature communications2022

Population fluctuations and synanthropy explain transmission risk in rodent-borne zoonoses.

Frauke Ecke, Barbara A Han, Birger Hörnfeldt, Hussein Khalil, Magnus Magnusson, Navinder J Singh, Richard S Ostfeld

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed
14.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 73 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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  15. Review
  16. Rodent-Borne Parasites and Human Disease: A Growing Public Health Concern.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2025
    Review
  17. Review
  18. National survey of the rat hepatitis E virus in rodents in Spain, 2022 to 2023.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025
    Article
  19. Pathogens and planetary change.Nature reviews. Biodiversity · 2025
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Frauke EckeDepartment of Wildlife, Fish, and Environmental Studies, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, SE-901 83, Umeå, Sweden. Frauke.Ecke@helsinki.fi.ORCID 0000-0003-4208-345X
Barbara A HanCary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, Millbrook, New York, 12545, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9948-3078
Birger HörnfeldtDepartment of Wildlife, Fish, and Environmental Studies, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, SE-901 83, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-2529-0991
Hussein KhalilDepartment of Wildlife, Fish, and Environmental Studies, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, SE-901 83, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-9982-6387
Magnus MagnussonDepartment of Wildlife, Fish, and Environmental Studies, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, SE-901 83, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-7275-9006
Navinder J SinghDepartment of Wildlife, Fish, and Environmental Studies, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, SE-901 83, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-5131-0004
Richard S OstfeldCary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, Millbrook, New York, 12545, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3707-9301
Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences · SECary Institute of Ecosystem Studies · USUniversity of Helsinki · FI

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Population fluctuations are widespread across the animal kingdom, especially in the order Rodentia, which includes many globally important reservoir species for zoonotic pathogens. The implications of these fluctuations for zoonotic spillover remain poorly understood. Here, we report a global empirical analysis of data describing the linkages between habitat use, population fluctuations and zoonotic reservoir status in rodents. Our quantitative synthesis is based on data collated from papers and databases. We show that the magnitude of population fluctuations combined with species' synanthropy and degree of human exploitation together distinguish most rodent reservoirs at a global scale, a result that was consistent across all pathogen types and pathogen transmission modes. Our spatial analyses identified hotspots of high transmission risk, including regions where reservoir species dominate the rodent community. Beyond rodents, these generalities inform our understanding of how natural and anthropogenic factors interact to increase the risk of zoonotic spillover in a rapidly changing world.

Indexed as

RodentiaAnimalsHumans

Identifiers

PMID36477188
PMCPMC9729607
OpenAlexW4311587854

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.