Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36475452›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and infection2022

Relative contribution of essential and non-essential activities to SARS-CoV-2 transmission following the lifting of public health restrictions in England and Wales.

Susan Hoskins, Sarah Beale, Vincent Nguyen, Yamina Boukari, Alexei Yavlinsky, Jana Kovar, Thomas Byrne, Ellen Fragaszy, Wing Lam Erica Fong, Cyril Geismar and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Susan HoskinsCentre for Public Health Data Science, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, NW1 2DA, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0418-309X
Sarah BealeCentre for Public Health Data Science, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, NW1 2DA, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4038-7460
Vincent NguyenCentre for Public Health Data Science, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, NW1 2DA, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9776-6242
Yamina BoukariCentre for Public Health Data Science, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, NW1 2DA, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9171-6922
Alexei YavlinskyCentre for Public Health Data Science, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, NW1 2DA, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4100-4257
Jana KovarInstitute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, London, WC1E 7HB, UK.
Thomas ByrneCentre for Public Health Data Science, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, NW1 2DA, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8667-0870
Ellen FragaszyCentre for Public Health Data Science, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, NW1 2DA, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0178-6098
Wing Lam Erica FongCentre for Public Health Data Science, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, NW1 2DA, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5097-2228
Cyril GeismarCentre for Public Health Data Science, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, NW1 2DA, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8486-5890
Parth PatelCentre for Public Health Data Science, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, NW1 2DA, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5207-2776
Annalan M D NavaratnamCentre for Public Health Data Science, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, NW1 2DA, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8141-5923
Martie van TongerenCentre for Occupational and Environmental Health, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, Greater Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1205-1898
Anne M JohnsonInstitute for Global Health, University College London, London, WC1N 1EH, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1330-7100
Robert W AldridgeCentre for Public Health Data Science, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, NW1 2DA, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0542-0816
Andrew HaywardInstitute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, London, WC1E 7HB, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3549-6232
Virus Watch Collaborative

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC 19070Medical Research Council MC_PC_19070Medical Research Council MR/N013867/1Medical Research Council MR/V028375/1Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 206602
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeWe aimed to understand which non-household activities increased infection odds and contributed greatest to SARS-CoV-2 infections following the lifting of public health restrictions in England and Wales. PROCEDURES: We undertook multivariable logistic regressions assessing the contribution to infections of activities reported by adult Virus Watch Community Cohort Study participants. We calculated adjusted weighted population attributable fractions (aPAF) estimating which activity contributed greatest to infections.

findingsAmong 11 413 participants (493 infections), infection was associated with: leaving home for work (aOR 1.35 (1.11-1.64), aPAF 17%), public transport (aOR 1.27 (1.04-1.57), aPAF 12%), shopping once (aOR 1.83 (1.36-2.45))

conclusionEssential activities (work and public transport) carried the greatest risk and were the dominant contributors to infections. Non-essential indoor activities (hospitality and leisure) increased risk but contributed less. Outdoor activities carried no statistical risk and contributed to fewer infections. As countries aim to 'live with COVID', mitigating transmission in essential and indoor venues becomes increasingly relevant.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2AdultCohort StudiesHumansPublic HealthWalesCoronavirusCOVID-19infectious disease epidemiologypublic healthrespiratory infections

Identifiers

PMID36475452
PMCPMC9990391

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.