ArticleJournal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi2022
Projection of Cancer Incidence and Mortality From 2020 to 2035 in the Korean Population Aged 20 Years and Older.
Article in Journal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Preventable Cancers Caused by Infection in Korea From 2015 to 2030.Journal of Korean medical science · 2025Pooled it
- Fraction of Cancer Attributable to Carcinogenic Drugs in Korea from 2015 to 2030.Cancer research and treatment · 2025Pooled it
- Fraction of Cancer Attributable to Occupational Carcinogens in Korea between 2015 and 2030.Cancer research and treatment · 2026Article
- Decline in Years of Life Lost Due to Diabetes in Korea, 2008-2019: A Cause-Specific Decomposition Analysis.Endocrinology and metabolism (Seoul, Korea) · 2026Article
- Preventable cancer cases and deaths attributable to deficit of physical activity in Korea from 2015 to 2030.Epidemiology and health · 2025Article
- Fraction of cancer incidence and mortality attributable to dietary factors in Korea from 2015 to 2030.Epidemiology and health · 2025Article
- Preventable cancer cases and deaths attributable to tobacco smoking in Korea from 2015 to 2030.Epidemiology and health · 2025Article
- Comparison of Population Attributable Fractions of Cancer Incidence and Mortality Linked to Excess Body Weight in Korea from 2015 to 2030.Endocrinology and metabolism (Seoul, Korea) · 2024Article
- A Comparison of Green, Delta, and Monte Carlo Methods to Select an Optimal Approach for Calculating the 95% Confidence Interval of the Population-attributable Fraction: Guidance for Epidemiological Research.Journal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi · 2024Article
- Changes in metabolic syndrome and the risk of breast and endometrial cancer according to menopause in Korean women.Epidemiology and health · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
12 authors.
Funding
Abstract
objectivesThis study aimed to identify the current patterns of cancer incidence and estimate the projected cancer incidence and mortality between 2020 and 2035 in Korea.
methodsData on cancer incidence cases were extracted from the Korean Statistical Information Service from 2000 to 2017, and data on cancer-related deaths were extracted from the National Cancer Center from 2000 to 2018. Cancer cases and deaths were classified according to the International Classification of Diseases, 10th edition. For the current patterns of cancer incidence, age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and age-standardized mortality rates were investigated using the 2000 mid-year estimated population aged over 20 years and older. A joinpoint regression model was used to determine the 2020 to 2035 trends in cancer.
resultsOverall, cancer cases were predicted to increase from 265 299 in 2020 to 474 085 in 2035 (growth rate: 1.8%). The greatest increase in the ASIR was projected for prostate cancer among male (7.84 vs. 189.53 per 100 000 people) and breast cancer among female (34.17 vs. 238.45 per 100 000 people) from 2000 to 2035. Overall cancer deaths were projected to increase from 81 717 in 2020 to 95 845 in 2035 (average annual growth rate: 1.2%). Although most cancer mortality rates were projected to decrease, those of breast, pancreatic, and ovarian cancer among female were projected to increase until 2035.
conclusionsThese up-to-date projections of cancer incidence and mortality in the Korean population may be a significant resource for implementing cancer-related regulations or developing cancer treatments.
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