Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36473499›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2022

Predicting the Effects of Climate Change on Dengue Vector Densities in Southeast Asia through Process-Based Modeling.

Lucas Bonnin, Annelise Tran, Vincent Herbreteau, Sébastien Marcombe, Sébastien Boyer, Morgan Mangeas, Christophe Menkes

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.2field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Lucas BonninENTROPIE (UMR 9220), IRD, Université de la Réunion, CNRS, Ifremer, Université de Nouvelle Calédonie, Nouméa, Nouvelle-Calédonie.ORCID 0000-0002-5674-1911
Annelise TranCIRAD, UMR TETIS, Sainte-Clotilde, Reunion Island, France.
Vincent HerbreteauESPACE-DEV, IRD, Université Antilles, Université Guyane, Université Montpellier, Université de la Réunion, Montpellier, France.
Sébastien MarcombeMedical Entomology and Vector-Borne Disease Laboratory, Institut Pasteur du Laos, Vientiane, Lao PDR.
Sébastien BoyerMedical and Veterinary Entomology Unit, Institut Pasteur du Cambodge, Phnom Penh, Cambodia.
Morgan MangeasENTROPIE (UMR 9220), IRD, Université de la Réunion, CNRS, Ifremer, Université de Nouvelle Calédonie, Nouméa, Nouvelle-Calédonie.
Christophe MenkesENTROPIE (UMR 9220), IRD, Université de la Réunion, CNRS, Ifremer, Université de Nouvelle Calédonie, Nouméa, Nouvelle-Calédonie.
Écologie Marine Tropicale des Océans Pacifique et Indien · RECentre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FRInstitut Pasteur du Cambodge · KHInstitut Pasteur du LaosUniversité de Montpellier · FR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background

objectivesA process-based approach was used to model densities of

methodsThe process-based model described, through a system of ordinary differential equations, the variations of mosquito densities in 10 compartments, corresponding to 10 different stages of mosquito life cycle, in response to temperature and precipitation variations. Local field data were used to validate model outputs.

resultsWe show that both species densities will globally increase due to future temperature increases. In Southeast Asia by the end of the century, DISCUSSION: These results contrast with previous results, which brings new insight on the future impacts of climate change on

Indexed as

Climate ChangeHumans

Identifiers

PMID36473499
PMCPMC9726451
OpenAlexW4310795201

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.