Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36470585›Full record

SynthesisThe Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism2023

Real-World Performance of the Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC)-A Meta-analysis.

Christian E Nasr, Massimiliano Andrioli, Mayumi Endo, R Mack Harrell, Masha J Livhits, Ibitoro Osakwe, Preethi Polavarapu, Allan Siperstein, Shuanzeng Wei, Xingyu Zheng and 7 more

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Molecular Diagnostics and [Thyroid : official journal of the American Thyroid Association · 2024
    Trial
  4. Trial
  5. The Diagnostic Performance of Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier in Black and Hispanic Patients With Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules.Otolaryngology--head and neck surgery : official journal of American Academy of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. The actual and future role of molecular tests in thyroid pathology.Virchows Archiv : an international journal of pathology · 2026
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Precision Medicine in Cytopathology.Surgical pathology clinics · 2024
    Review
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Christian E NasrUniversity of Arizona College of Medicine Phoenix, Phoenix, AZ 85004, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9473-0861
Massimiliano AndrioliCentro EndocrinologiaOggi, 00199 Roma, Italy.
Mayumi EndoEndocrine Care Center at University of Washington Medical Center, Seattle, WA 98105, USA.
R Mack HarrellMemorial Healthcare System, Hollywood, FL 33021, USA.
Masha J LivhitsEndocrine Center, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
Ibitoro OsakweDivision of Endocrinology, Umass Chan Medical School, Baystate, Springfield, MA 01199, USA.
Preethi PolavarapuUniversity of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE 68198, USA.
Allan SipersteinDepartment of Endocrine Surgery, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH 44195, USA.
Shuanzeng WeiFox Chase Cancer Center, Philadelphia, PA 19111, USA.
Xingyu ZhengVeracyte, Inc., South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA.
Ruochen JiangVeracyte, Inc., South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA.
Yangyang HaoVeracyte, Inc., South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA.
J I Ng HuangVeracyte, Inc., South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA.
Joshua P KlopperVeracyte, Inc., South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3172-7208
Richard T KloosVeracyte, Inc., South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA.
Giulia KennedyVeracyte, Inc., South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA.
Trevor E AngellThyroid Center, Keck School of Medicine of USC, Los Angeles, CA 90033, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

contextThe Afirma® GSC aids in risk stratifying indeterminate thyroid nodule cytology (ITN). The 2018 GSC validation study (VS) reported a sensitivity (SN) of 91%, specificity (SP) of 68%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 47%, and negative predictive value (NPV) of 96%. Since then, 13 independent real-world (RW) postvalidation studies have been published.

objectiveThis study's objective is to compare the RW GSC performance to the VS metrics.

methodsRules and assumptions applying to this analysis include: (1) At least 1 patient with molecular benign results must have surgery for that study to be included in SN, SP, and NPV analyses. (2) Molecular benign results without surgical histology are considered true negatives (TN) (as are molecular benign results with benign surgical histology). (3) Unoperated patients with suspicious results are either excluded from analysis (observed PPV [oPPV] and observed SP [oSP]) or assumed histology negatives (false positives; conservative PPV [cPPV] and conservative SP [cSP]) 4. Noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features is considered malignant.

resultsIn RW studies, the GSC demonstrates a SN, oSP, oPPV, and NPV of 97%, 88%, 65%, 99% respectively, and conservative RW performance showed cSP of 80% and cPPV of 49%, all significantly higher than the VS except for SN and cPPV. There was also a higher benign call rate (BCR) of 67% in RW studies compared to 54% in the VS (P < 0.05).

conclusionRW data for the Afirma GSC demonstrates significantly better oSP and oPPV performance than the VS, indicating an increased yield of cancers for resected GSC suspicious nodules. The higher BCR likely increases the overall rate of clinical observation in lieu of surgery.

Indexed as

Thyroid NeoplasmsThyroid NoduleBiopsy, Fine-NeedleGene Expression ProfilingGenomicsHumansRetrospective Studiesbenign call rategenomic sequencing classifierindeterminate thyroid nodulereal worldrisk of malignancy

Identifiers

PMID36470585
PMCPMC10188305

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.