Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36470178›Full record

Observational studyArchives of gerontology and geriatrics2023

Predicting risk of declining functional ability in community-dwelling older people.

Claudio Pedone, Antonio De Vincentis, Federica Quarata, Stefania Bandinelli, Luigi Ferrucci, Raffaele Antonelli Incalzi

Open access · greenAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Archives of gerontology and geriatrics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.4field-weighted citation impact, top 40% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Claudio PedoneUnit of Geriatrics, Campus Bio-Medico University of Rome, Rome, Italy.
Antonio De VincentisUnit of Geriatrics, Campus Bio-Medico University of Rome, Rome, Italy. Electronic address: a.devincentis@policlinicocampus.it.
Federica QuarataUnit of Geriatrics, Campus Bio-Medico University of Rome, Rome, Italy.
Stefania BandinelliUnit of Geriatrics, Azienda Sanitaria di Firenze Toscana, Firenze, Italy.
Luigi FerrucciNational Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
Raffaele Antonelli IncalziUnit of Geriatrics, Campus Bio-Medico University of Rome, Rome, Italy.
Università Campus Bio-Medico · ITAzienda Sanitaria di Firenze · ITNational Institute on Aging · US

Funding

The InChianti StudyZIAAG001050 · NIA · NATIONAL INSTITUTE ON AGING · PI FERRUCCI, LUIGI · 2009 to 2025
$2.1M
Biomarkers of Homestatic Dysregulation in Aging and Chronic DiseaseZIAAG000971 · NIA · NATIONAL INSTITUTE ON AGING · PI FERRUCCI, LUIGI · 2009 to 2025
$1.9M
Intramural NIH HHS Z99 AG999999NIA NIH HHS HHSN271201300071C
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe frailty phenotype (FP) proposed by Fried and colleagues has been shown to be strongly associated with incident disability, but its discriminative capacities remain suboptimal, with good specificity but a sensitivity of only 10-20%. The objective of the present study was to evaluate whether the addition to the FP of other biological and social variables may improve the prediction of declining functional ability in community-dwelling older people.

designProspective observational study. SETTING AND

participantsCommunity-dwelling older subjects.

methodsWe used data from the InChianti (N 897) and the SHARE (N 444) studies to derive and validate a scoring system consisting of FP components along with age, perceived health status and markers of socio-economic disadvantage. Backward stepwise logistic regressions were used to obtain a parsimonious model, able to predict the loss of ability to perform instrumental or basic activities of daily living over time.

resultsA scoring system derived from a model only including age, low physical activity level, exhaustion and perceived health status had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.846 in the training cohort (InChianti), and 0.745 in the testing cohort (SHARE). By applying the cut-off of 33 and 25 in the InChianti and SHARE, respectively, sensitivity raised to 0.70 and 0.62 with specificity of 0.83 and 0.70, respectively. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: A simple score based on anamnestic variables may be more sensitive than the FP towards worsening functional ability, while retaining good specificity. Further studies are needed to confirm its performance.

Indexed as

Frail ElderlyFrailtyActivities of Daily LivingAgedGeriatric AssessmentHumansIndependent LivingProspective Studies

Identifiers

PMID36470178
PMCPMC10866326
OpenAlexW4310136410

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.