Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36453094›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2023

Trends in Cases, Hospitalizations, and Mortality Related to the Omicron BA.4/BA.5 Subvariants in South Africa.

Waasila Jassat, Salim S Abdool Karim, Lovelyn Ozougwu, Richard Welch, Caroline Mudara, Maureen Masha, Petro Rousseau, Milani Wolmarans, Anthony Selikow, Nevashan Govender and 10 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Waasila JassatNational Institute for Communicable Diseases, Division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Salim S Abdool KarimCentre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa, Durban, South Africa.
Lovelyn OzougwuNational Institute for Communicable Diseases, Division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Richard WelchNational Institute for Communicable Diseases, Division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Caroline MudaraNational Institute for Communicable Diseases, Division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Maureen MashaNational Institute for Communicable Diseases, Division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Petro RousseauNational Department of Health, Pretoria, South Africa.
Milani WolmaransNational Department of Health, Pretoria, South Africa.
Anthony SelikowCouncil for Scientific and Industrial Research, Pretoria, South Africa.
Nevashan GovenderNational Institute for Communicable Diseases, Division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Sibongile WalazaNational Institute for Communicable Diseases, Division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Anne von GottbergNational Institute for Communicable Diseases, Division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Nicole WolterNational Institute for Communicable Diseases, Division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Pedro Terrence PisaRight to Care, Pretoria, South Africa.
Ian SanneRight to Care, Pretoria, South Africa.
Sharlene GovenderRight to Care, Pretoria, South Africa.
Lucille BlumbergNational Institute for Communicable Diseases, Division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0002-6959-5749
Cheryl CohenNational Institute for Communicable Diseases, Division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Michelle J GroomeNational Institute for Communicable Diseases, Division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
DATCOV Author Group
National Health Laboratory Service · ZADepartment of Health · ZARight to Care · ZACentre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa · ZACouncil for Scientific and Industrial Research · ZAUniversity of the Witwatersrand · ZA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn this study, we compared admission incidence risk and the risk of mortality in the Omicron BA.4/BA.5 wave to previous waves.

methodsData from South Africa's SARS-CoV-2 case linelist, national COVID-19 hospital surveillance system, and Electronic Vaccine Data System were linked and analyzed. Wave periods were defined when the country passed a weekly incidence of 30 cases/100 000 population. In-hospital case fatality ratios (CFRs) during the Delta, Omicron BA.1/BA.2, and Omicron BA.4/BA.5 waves were compared using post-imputation random effect multivariable logistic regression models.

resultsThe CFR was 25.9% (N = 37 538 of 144 778), 10.9% (N = 6123 of 56 384), and 8.2% (N = 1212 of 14 879) in the Delta, Omicron BA.1/BA.2, and Omicron BA.4/BA.5 waves, respectively. After adjusting for age, sex, race, comorbidities, health sector, and province, compared with the Omicron BA.4/BA.5 wave, patients had higher risk of mortality in the Omicron BA.1/BA.2 wave (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.3; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.2-1.4) and Delta wave (aOR, 3.0; 95% CI: 2.8-3.2). Being partially vaccinated (aOR, 0.9; 95% CI: .9-.9), fully vaccinated (aOR, 0.6; 95% CI: .6-.7), and boosted (aOR, 0.4; 95% CI: .4-.5) and having prior laboratory-confirmed infection (aOR, 0.4; 95% CI: .3-.4) were associated with reduced risks of mortality.

conclusionsOverall, admission incidence risk and in-hospital mortality, which had increased progressively in South Africa's first 3 waves, decreased in the fourth Omicron BA.1/BA.2 wave and declined even further in the fifth Omicron BA.4/BA.5 wave. Mortality risk was lower in those with natural infection and vaccination, declining further as the number of vaccine doses increased.

Indexed as

COVID-19Laboratory InfectionHospitalizationHospitalsHumansSARS-CoV-2South AfricaCOVID-19hospital admissionsmortalityOmicron BA.4Omicron BA.5

Identifiers

PMID36453094
PMCPMC10110264
OpenAlexW4310534288

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.