Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36438694›Full record

ArticleInfectious Disease Modelling2022

Optimal COVID-19 epidemic strategy with vaccination control and infection prevention measures in Thailand.

Adison Thongtha, Chairat Modnak

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Infectious Disease Modelling, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Adison ThongthaDepartment of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Naresuan University, Phitsanulok, 65000, Thailand.
Chairat ModnakDepartment of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Naresuan University, Phitsanulok, 65000, Thailand.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

COVID-19 is a severe acute respiratory syndrome caused by the Coronavirus-2 virus (SARS-CoV-2). The virus spreads from one to another through droplets from an infected person, and sometimes these droplets can contaminate surfaces that may be another infection pathway. In this study, we developed a COVID-19 model based on data and observations in Thailand. The country has strictly distributed masks, vaccination, and social distancing measures to control the disease. Hence, we have classified the susceptible individuals into two classes: one who follows the measures and another who does not take the control guidelines seriously. We conduct epidemic and endemic analyses and represent the threshold dynamics characterized by the basic reproduction number. We have examined the parameter values used in our model using the mean general interval (GI). From the calculation, the value is 5.5 days which is the optimal value of the COVID-19 model. Besides, we have formulated an optimal control problem to seek guidelines maintaining the spread of COVID-19. Our simulations suggest that high-risk groups with no precaution to prevent the disease (maybe due to lack of budgets or equipment) are crucial to getting vaccinated to reduce the number of infections. The results also indicate that preventive measures are the keys to controlling the disease.

Indexed as

92B0592D25COVID-19 epidemicsGlobal stabilityInfectious diseaseMathematical modellingOptimal control problemStability analysis

Identifiers

PMID36438694
PMCPMC9678212

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.