Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36437869›Full record

ArticleProcedia computer science2022

Application of Gaussian process regression as a surrogate modeling method to assess the dynamics of COVID-19 propagation.

Alexandra Matveeva, Vasiliy Leonenko

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Procedia computer science, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Alexandra MatveevaFaculty of Digital Transformation, ITMO University, Birzhevaya, 4, Saint Petersburg, 199034, Russian Federation.
Vasiliy LeonenkoNational Center for Cognitive Research, ITMO University, Birzhevaya, 4, Saint Petersburg, 199034, Russian Federation.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In this research, we aimed to assess the possibility of using surrogate modeling methods to replace time-consuming calculations related to modeling of COVID-19 dynamics. The Gaussian process regression (GPR) was used as a surrogate to replace detailed simulations by a COVID-19 multiagent model. Experiments were conducted with various kernels, as a result, in accordance with the quality metrics of the models, kernels were identified in which the surrogate gives the most accurate result (Rational Quadratic kernel and Additive kernel). It was demonstrated that by smoothing the dynamics of COVID-19 propagation, it is possible to achieve greater accuracy in GPR training. The obtained results prove the potential possibility of using surrogate modeling methods to conduct an uncertainty quantification of the multiagent model of COVID-19 propagation.

Indexed as

COVID-19EpidemiologyGaussian process regressionMathematical modelingMultiagent modelingSurrogate modelingUncertainty quantification

Identifiers

PMID36437869
PMCPMC9682405

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.