Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36434628›Full record

ArticleBMC health services research2022

Effective hospital readmission prediction models using machine-learned features.

Sacha Davis, Jin Zhang, Ilbin Lee, Mostafa Rezaei, Russell Greiner, Finlay A McAlister, Raj Padwal

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC health services research, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Predicting Psychiatric Readmission of Children and Adolescents Using Machine Learning.Journal of child and adolescent psychopharmacology · 2026
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  6. A Blueprint for Partnership between AI and MD.Delaware journal of public health · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Sacha DavisDepartment of Computing Science, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada. sdavis1@ualberta.ca.
Jin ZhangAlberta School of Business, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
Ilbin LeeAlberta School of Business, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
Mostafa RezaeiESCP Business School, Paris, France.
Russell GreinerDepartment of Computing Science, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
Finlay A McAlisterMedicine and Dentistry, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
Raj PadwalMedicine and Dentistry, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHospital readmissions are one of the costliest challenges facing healthcare systems, but conventional models fail to predict readmissions well. Many existing models use exclusively manually-engineered features, which are labor intensive and dataset-specific. Our objective was to develop and evaluate models to predict hospital readmissions using derived features that are automatically generated from longitudinal data using machine learning techniques.

methodsWe studied patients discharged from acute care facilities in 2015 and 2016 in Alberta, Canada, excluding those who were hospitalized to give birth or for a psychiatric condition. We used population-level linked administrative hospital data from 2011 to 2017 to train prediction models using both manually derived features and features generated automatically from observational data. The target value of interest was 30-day all-cause hospital readmissions, with the success of prediction measured using the area under the curve (AUC) statistic.

resultsData from 428,669 patients (62% female, 38% male, 27% 65 years or older) were used for training and evaluating models: 24,974 (5.83%) were readmitted within 30 days of discharge for any reason. Patients were more likely to be readmitted if they utilized hospital care more, had more physician office visits, had more prescriptions, had a chronic condition, or were 65 years old or older. The LACE readmission prediction model had an AUC of 0.66 ± 0.0064 while the machine learning model's test set AUC was 0.83 ± 0.0045, based on learning a gradient boosting machine on a combination of machine-learned and manually-derived features.

conclusionApplying a machine learning model to the computer-generated and manual features improved prediction accuracy over the LACE model and a model that used only manually-derived features. Our model can be used to identify high-risk patients, for whom targeted interventions may potentially prevent readmissions.

Indexed as

Patient DischargePatient ReadmissionAgedAlbertaFemaleHospitalizationHumansMachine LearningMaleArea under curveHospitalizationMachine learningPatient readmission

Identifiers

PMID36434628
PMCPMC9700920

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.