Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36428454›Full record

ArticleAnimals : an open access journal from MDPI2022

Environmental Niche Modelling Predicts a Contraction in the Potential Distribution of Two Boreal Owl Species under Different Climate Scenarios.

Kristina Cerman, Draženko Rajković, Biljana Topić, Goran Topić, Peter Shurulinkov, Tomaž Mihelič, Juan D Delgado

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Animals : an open access journal from MDPI, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Owls' Responses to Environmental Challenges.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Kristina CermanFaculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Kamýcká 129, Suchdol, 165 00 Prague, Czech Republic.ORCID 0000-0002-9442-1230
Draženko RajkovićCenter for Biodiversity Research, Maksima Gorkog 40/3, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0002-2626-0076
Biljana TopićOrnithological Society ''Naše Ptice'', Semira Frašte 6/14, 71000 Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Goran TopićOrnithological Society ''Naše Ptice'', Semira Frašte 6/14, 71000 Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Peter ShurulinkovNational Museum of Natural History-Sofia, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, 1 Tsar Osvoboditel Blvd., 1000 Sofia, Bulgaria.
Tomaž MiheličDOPPS-BirdLife Slovenia, Tržaška Cesta 2, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia.
Juan D DelgadoDepartment of Physical, Chemical and Natural Systems, Ecology Area, Faculty of Experimental Sciences, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, E-41013 Sevilla, Spain.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Studying current and future geographic distribution is essential for conserving endangered species such as the Boreal Owl and Eurasian Pygmy Owl. The main aim of this study was to determine the potential distribution of both species in the Balkan Peninsula by using spatial distribution models (SDMs) in MaxEnt. We used data from field surveys, the scientific and grey literature, and an online database. We considered the current time and two future periods, 2041-2060 and 2061-2080. For future periods, we included different climate scenarios (SSP 126, 245, 370, and 585) in studying the potential geographic distribution of both species. We identified two types of potential future refugia for species: in situ and ex situ. Our study shows the highly suitable area for the Boreal Owl increased during the 2041-2060 period compared with the current area in all scenarios, except in SSP 585. However, during the 2061-2080 period, the highly suitable areas contracted. For the Eurasian Pygmy Owl, highly suitable areas decreased during 2041-2060, but during the 2061-2080 period, it was larger than the current area. Our study is of importance for conservation and preserving areas of potential distribution and refugia for Boreal and Eurasian Pygmy Owls in the face of climate change.

Indexed as

Aegolius funereusBalkan Peninsulaclimate changeGlaucidium passerinumMaxEntrefugiaspecies distribution modellingsuitability modelling

Identifiers

PMID36428454
PMCPMC9686532

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.