Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36424556›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2022

Applied causal inference methods for sequential mediators.

D Zugna, M Popovic, F Fasanelli, B Heude, G Scelo, L Richiardi

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
4.4field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  3. Family stress model and parenting in infancy: Social support and parenting self-efficacy as resilience factors.Journal of family psychology : JFP : journal of the Division of Family Psychology of the American Psychological Association (Division 43) · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

D ZugnaCancer Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Via Santena 7, 10126, Turin, Italy. daniela.zugna@unito.it.
M PopovicCancer Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Via Santena 7, 10126, Turin, Italy.
F FasanelliCancer Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Via Santena 7, 10126, Turin, Italy.
B HeudeUniversité de Paris Cité, Inserm, INRAE, Centre of Research in Epidemiology and StatisticS (CRESS), F-75004 Paris, France.
G SceloCancer Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Via Santena 7, 10126, Turin, Italy.
L RichiardiCancer Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Via Santena 7, 10126, Turin, Italy.
University of Turin · ITCentre de Recherche Épidémiologie et Statistique

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMediation analysis aims at estimating to what extent the effect of an exposure on an outcome is explained by a set of mediators on the causal pathway between the exposure and the outcome. The total effect of the exposure on the outcome can be decomposed into an indirect effect, i.e. the effect explained by the mediators jointly, and a direct effect, i.e. the effect unexplained by the mediators. However finer decompositions are possible in presence of independent or sequential mediators.

methodsWe review four statistical methods to analyse multiple sequential mediators, the inverse odds ratio weighting approach, the inverse probability weighting approach, the imputation approach and the extended imputation approach. These approaches are compared and implemented using a case-study with the aim to investigate the mediating role of adverse reproductive outcomes and infant respiratory infections in the effect of maternal pregnancy mental health on infant wheezing in the Ninfea birth cohort.

resultsUsing the inverse odds ratio weighting approach, the direct effect of maternal depression or anxiety in pregnancy is equal to a 59% (95% CI: 27%,94%) increased prevalence of infant wheezing and the mediated effect through adverse reproductive outcomes is equal to a 3% (95% CI: -6%,12%) increased prevalence of infant wheezing. When including infant lower respiratory infections in the mediation pathway, the direct effect decreases to 57% (95% CI: 25%,92%) and the indirect effect increases to 5% (95% CI: -5%,15%). The estimates of the effects obtained using the weighting and the imputation approaches are similar. The extended imputation approach suggests that the small joint indirect effect through adverse reproductive outcomes and lower respiratory infections is due entirely to the contribution of infant lower respiratory infections, and not to an increased prevalence of adverse reproductive outcomes.

conclusionsThe four methods revealed similar results of small mediating role of adverse reproductive outcomes and early respiratory tract infections in the effect of maternal pregnancy mental health on infant wheezing. The choice of the method depends on what is the effect of main interest, the type of the variables involved in the analysis (binary, categorical, count or continuous) and the confidence in specifying the models for the exposure, the mediators and the outcome.

Indexed as

Respiratory SoundsRespiratory Tract InfectionsCausalityFemaleHumansInfantMediation AnalysisOdds RatioPregnancyCausal inferenceDirect and indirect effectsImputationMediation analysisSequential mediatorsWeighting

Identifiers

PMID36424556
PMCPMC9686042
OpenAlexW4309889628

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.