Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36419740›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2023

Association between age at diabetes onset or diabetes duration and subsequent risk of pancreatic cancer: Results from a longitudinal cohort and mendelian randomization study.

Baiyong Shen, Yanyun Li, Chang-Sheng Sheng, Lili Liu, Tianzhichao Hou, Nan Xia, Siming Sun, Ya Miao, Yi Pang, Kai Gu and 12 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 53 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors at 7 institutions in 3 countries.

Baiyong ShenDepartment of General Surgery, Pancreatic Disease Center, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Yanyun LiDivision of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease and Injury, Shanghai municipal center for disease control and prevention, Shanghai, 200336, China.
Chang-Sheng ShengDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Center for Epidemiological Studies and Clinical Trials and Center for Vascular Evaluation, Shanghai Key Lab of Hypertension, Shanghai Institute of Hypertension, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Lili LiuDivision of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease and Injury, Shanghai municipal center for disease control and prevention, Shanghai, 200336, China.
Tianzhichao HouState Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Clinical Trial Center, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025 China.
Nan XiaState Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Clinical Trial Center, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025 China.
Siming SunMoores Cancer Center, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States.
Ya MiaoState Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Clinical Trial Center, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025 China.
Yi PangDivision of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease and Injury, Shanghai municipal center for disease control and prevention, Shanghai, 200336, China.
Kai GuDivision of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease and Injury, Shanghai municipal center for disease control and prevention, Shanghai, 200336, China.
Xiongxiong LuDepartment of General Surgery, Pancreatic Disease Center, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Chenlei WenDepartment of General Surgery, Pancreatic Disease Center, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Yi ChengDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Center for Epidemiological Studies and Clinical Trials and Center for Vascular Evaluation, Shanghai Key Lab of Hypertension, Shanghai Institute of Hypertension, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Yulin YangState Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Clinical Trial Center, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025 China.
Dan WangDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Center for Epidemiological Studies and Clinical Trials and Center for Vascular Evaluation, Shanghai Key Lab of Hypertension, Shanghai Institute of Hypertension, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Yijie ZhuState Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Clinical Trial Center, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025 China.
Minna ChengDivision of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease and Injury, Shanghai municipal center for disease control and prevention, Shanghai, 200336, China.
Katie HarrisThe George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Zachary T BloomgardenDepartment of Medicine, Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Bone Disease, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States.
Jingyan TianState Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Clinical Trial Center, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025 China.
John ChalmersThe George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Yan ShiDivision of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease and Injury, Shanghai municipal center for disease control and prevention, Shanghai, 200336, China.
Shanghai Jiao Tong University · CNShanghai Municipal Center For Disease Control Prevention · CNRuijin Hospital · CNUNSW Sydney · AUIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai · USShanghai Clinical Research Center · CNUniversity of California San Diego · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The aim of the study is to estimate the incidence of pancreatic cancer among individuals with new-onset type 2 Diabetes (T2DM) and evaluate the relationship of pancreatic cancer risk with age at diabetes onset and diabetes duration. Methods: This longitudinal cohort study included 428,362 new-onset T2DM patients in Shanghai and Mendelian randomization (MR) in the east-Asian population were used to investigate the association. Incidence rates of pancreatic cancer in all patients and by subgroups were calculated and compared to the general population. Findings: A total of 1056 incident pancreatic cancer cases were identified during eight consecutive years of follow-up. The overall pancreatic cancer annual incidence rate was 55·28/100,000 person years in T2DM patients, higher than that in the general population, with a standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of 1·54 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1·45-1·64). The incidence of pancreatic cancer increased with age and a significantly higher incidence was observed in the older groups with T2DM. However, the relative pancreatic cancer risk was inversely related to age of T2DM onset, and a higher SIR of 5·73 (95%CI, 4·49-7·22) was observed in the 20-54 years old group. The risk of pancreatic cancer was elevated at any diabetes duration. Fasting blood glucose ≥10·0 mmol/L was associated with increased risk of pancreatic cancer. MR analysis indicated a positive association between T2DM and pancreatic cancer risk. Interpretation: Efforts toward early and close follow-up programs, especially in individuals with young-onset T2DM, and the improvement of glucose control might represent effective strategies for improving the detection and results of treatment of pancreatic cancer. Funding: Chinese National Natural Science Foundation.

Indexed as

Diabetes durationMendelian randomizationOnset agePancreatic cancerType 2 diabetes mellitus

Identifiers

PMID36419740
PMCPMC9677075
OpenAlexW4296083121

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.