ArticleNature communications2022
Forest fire threatens global carbon sinks and population centres under rising atmospheric water demand.
Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 133 citations in OpenAlex.
- Nitrogen addition and drought impose divergent effects on belowground bud banks of grassland community: a meta-analysis.Frontiers in plant science · 2024Pooled it
- Gazing into the flames: A guide to assessing the impacts of climate change on landscape fire.Science advances · 2025Review
- Global warming reduces the carrying capacity of the tallest angiosperm species (Eucalyptus regnans).Nature communications · 2025Article
- Fuels Mediate the Influence of Climate Teleconnections on Wildfires in Dryland Ecosystems.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Drying Spring Accelerates Transitions Toward Pyrogenic Vegetation in Eastern Boreal North America.Ecology letters · 2025Article
- When is fire weather extreme enough for active fire spread in Canada?Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025Article
- What Are the Limits to the Growth of Boreal Fires?Global change biology · 2025Article
- A high resolution, gridded product for vapor pressure deficit using Daymet.Scientific data · 2025Article
- Climate change aggravated wildfire behaviour in the Iberian Peninsula in recent years.NPJ climate and atmospheric science · 2025Article
- Road fragment edges enhance wildfire incidence and intensity, while suppressing global burned area.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Carbon emissions from the 2023 Canadian wildfires.Nature · 2024Article
- Rapid summer Russian Arctic sea-ice loss enhances the risk of recent Eastern Siberian wildfires.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Climate change may shift metapopulations towards unstable source-sink dynamics in a fire-killed, serotinous shrub.Ecology and evolution · 2024Article
- The interior climate and its microclimatic variation of temperate forests in Northern Patagonia, Argentina.International journal of biometeorology · 2024Article
- Australia's Tinderbox Drought: An extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change.Science advances · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Levels of fire activity and severity that are unprecedented in the instrumental record have recently been observed in forested regions around the world. Using a large sample of daily fire events and hourly climate data, here we show that fire activity in all global forest biomes responds strongly and predictably to exceedance of thresholds in atmospheric water demand, as measured by maximum daily vapour pressure deficit. The climatology of vapour pressure deficit can therefore be reliably used to predict forest fire risk under projected future climates. We find that climate change is projected to lead to widespread increases in risk, with at least 30 additional days above critical thresholds for fire activity in forest biomes on every continent by 2100 under rising emissions scenarios. Escalating forest fire risk threatens catastrophic carbon losses in the Amazon and major population health impacts from wildfire smoke in south Asia and east Africa.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.