ArticleScience advances2022
Increased occurrences of early Indian Ocean Dipole under global warming.
Article in Science advances, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
What it found
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- Two distinct types of the Indian Ocean Dipole.National science review · 2026Article
- Frequent floods in the Yangtze River basin linked to a shifted Indian Ocean wave regime.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Human-induced intensification of sea surface temperature regime shifts threatens global Large Marine Ecosystems.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Middle East dust as an important external driver of the Indian Ocean Dipole.Nature communications · 2026Article
- The Indian Ocean Dipole drives imported-dominated dengue outbreaks in China: Mechanisms and predictions.PNAS nexus · 2025Article
- Enhanced global extreme droughts driven by the Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean on decadal timescales.iScience · 2025Article
- Projected changes in climate extremes over Tanzania.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Sea-level rise and extreme Indian Ocean Dipole explain mangrove dieback in the Maldives.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Article
- Variability of the Indian Ocean Dipole post-2100 reverses to a reduction despite persistent global warming.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Decreased Indian Ocean Dipole variability under prolonged greenhouse warming.Nature communications · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is a prominent mode of ocean-atmosphere interannual variability with great climate and socioeconomic impacts. Early positive IOD (pIOD), a newly discovered type of pIOD, induces pronounced rainfall anomalies in boreal summer more than canonical pIOD. It also contributes to more frequent consecutive pIODs, causing devastating droughts and floods. How early pIOD responds to global warming remains unknown. Here, we show that early pIOD has increased substantially in the past decades, reaching the same frequency as canonical pIOD. The increase is caused by intensified Bjerknes feedback and an early summer monsoon onset, which is the major trigger for early pIOD. Model simulations suggest that the increased frequency of early pIOD is likely to continue under greenhouse warming by the same mechanisms as in the observations, increasing boreal summer climate variability and leading to more climate extremes in affected regions.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.