Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36415966›Full record

ArticleGlobal change biology2023

Declining Amazon biomass due to deforestation and subsequent degradation losses exceeding gains.

Dominic Fawcett, Stephen Sitch, Philippe Ciais, Jean Pierre Wigneron, Celso H L Silva-Junior, Viola Heinrich, Christelle Vancutsem, Frédéric Achard, Ana Bastos, Hui Yang and 4 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global change biology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 51 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. A large net carbon loss attributed to anthropogenic and natural disturbances in the Amazon Arc of Deforestation.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  4. Amazon deforestation causes strong regional warming.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 9 institutions in 8 countries.

Dominic FawcettDepartment of Geography, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economy, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0159-2533
Stephen SitchDepartment of Geography, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economy, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1821-8561
Philippe CiaisLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement LSCE, CEA CNRS UVSQ, Centre d'Etudes Orme de Merisiers, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.ORCID 0000-0001-8560-4943
Jean Pierre WigneronINRAE, UMR ISPA, Université de Bordeaux, Villenave d'Ornon, France.ORCID 0000-0001-5345-3618
Celso H L Silva-JuniorInstitute of Environment and Sustainability, University of California, Los Angeles, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1052-5551
Viola HeinrichSchool of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0501-0032
Christelle VancutsemFINCONs Group, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-3851-8588
Frédéric AchardEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy.
Ana BastosDepartment of Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7368-7806
Hui YangLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement LSCE, CEA CNRS UVSQ, Centre d'Etudes Orme de Merisiers, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.ORCID 0000-0001-6454-8954
Xiaojun LiINRAE, UMR ISPA, Université de Bordeaux, Villenave d'Ornon, France.ORCID 0000-0002-3831-4852
Clément AlbergelEuropean Space Agency Climate Office, ECSAT, Harwell Campus, Didcot, Oxfordshire, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1095-2702
Pierre FriedlingsteinMathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economy, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3309-4739
Luiz E O C AragãoDepartment of Geography, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economy, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4134-6708
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FRUniversity of Exeter · GBUniversité de Bordeaux · FREuropean Centre for Space Applications and Telecommunications · GBFincons Group (Italy) · ITJet Propulsion Laboratory · USJoint Research Centre · ITMax Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry · DEUniversity of Bristol · GB

Funding

Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales TOSCACoordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior 001European Space Agency 4000123002/18/I-NBNatural Environment Research Council NE/L002434/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the Amazon, deforestation and climate change lead to increased vulnerability to forest degradation, threatening its existing carbon stocks and its capacity as a carbon sink. We use satellite L-Band Vegetation Optical Depth (L-VOD) data that provide an integrated (top-down) estimate of biomass carbon to track changes over 2011-2019. Because the spatial resolution of L-VOD is coarse (0.25°), it allows limited attribution of the observed changes. We therefore combined high-resolution annual maps of forest cover and disturbances with biomass maps to model carbon losses (bottom-up) from deforestation and degradation, and gains from regrowing secondary forests. We show an increase of deforestation and associated degradation losses since 2012 which greatly outweigh secondary forest gains. Degradation accounted for 40% of gross losses. After an increase in 2011, old-growth forests show a net loss of above-ground carbon between 2012 and 2019. The sum of component carbon fluxes in our model is consistent with the total biomass change from L-VOD of 1.3 Pg C over 2012-2019. Across nine Amazon countries, we found that while Brazil contains the majority of biomass stocks (64%), its losses from disturbances were disproportionately high (79% of gross losses). Our multi-source analysis provides a pessimistic assessment of the Amazon carbon balance and highlights the urgent need to stop the recent rise of deforestation and degradation, particularly in the Brazilian Amazon.

Indexed as

Conservation of Natural ResourcesForestsBiomassCarbonCarbon SequestrationCarbonAmazonbiomasscarbondeforestationdegradationforestgrowthVOD

Identifiers

PMID36415966
PMCPMC10100003
OpenAlexW4309722185

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.