Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36415903›Full record

ArticleActa orthopaedica2022

Projection of primary and revision hip arthroplasty surgery in Denmark from 2020 to 2050.

Mathias B Rasmussen, Anders El-Galaly, Louise Daugberg, Poul T Nielsen, Thomas Jakobsen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Acta orthopaedica, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Mathias B RasmussenInterdisciplinary Orthopedics, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg. Mathias.rasmussen@rn.dk.
Anders El-GalalyInterdisciplinary Orthopedics, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg.
Louise DaugbergInterdisciplinary Orthopedics, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg; Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark.
Poul T NielsenInterdisciplinary Orthopedics, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg.
Thomas JakobsenInterdisciplinary Orthopedics, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg; Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background and purposeThe incidence of primary and revision total hip arthroplasty (THA) has increased over the last decades. Previous forecasts from different healthcare systems have predicted a continuous increase. We present a forecast of both primary and revision surgery from 2020 to 2050 based on 25 years data from the healthcare system in Denmark. PATIENTS AND

methodsWe retrieved data from the Danish Hip Arthroplasty Register on 198,835 primary and 29,456 revision surgeries. Historical censuses and population forecasts were retrieved from Statistics Denmark. Logistic and Gompertz regression analysis was used to forecast incidence rates (IR) and total numbers in the next 30 years.

resultsOur forecast predicts an increase in IR of 3-9% and an increase in total numbers of primary THA of between 12% and 19% in 2050. For revision THA the IRs have reached a plateau but total numbers are predicted to increase by 19% in 2050.

conclusionOur forecast shows that both primary and revision THA will increase in total numbers in the next decades, but the IR for primary THA is near its plateau and for revision THA the plateau has already been reached. The forecast may aid in healthcare resource planning for the decades to come.

Indexed as

Arthroplasty, Replacement, HipHip ProsthesisDenmarkHumansRegistriesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID36415903
PMCPMC9682661

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.