Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36413442›Full record

ArticleCancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology2023

Geographic Patterns in U.S. Lung Cancer Mortality and Cigarette Smoking.

Alaina H Shreves, Ian D Buller, Elizabeth Chase, Hannah Creutzfeldt, Jared A Fisher, Barry I Graubard, Robert N Hoover, Debra T Silverman, Susan S Devesa, Rena R Jones

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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  7. Where Should the Cancer Control Interventions Target: A Geospatial Hotspot Analysis for Major Cancer Mortality 2018 to 2022 in the United States.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Alaina H ShrevesDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts.ORCID 0000-0002-0127-4391
Ian D BullerOccupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch, DCEG, NCI, NIH Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0001-9477-8582
Elizabeth ChaseBiostatistics Branch, DCEG, NCI, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0003-0452-2976
Hannah CreutzfeldtOccupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch, DCEG, NCI, NIH Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0001-7828-8735
Jared A FisherOccupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch, DCEG, NCI, NIH Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0001-9203-5742
Barry I GraubardBiostatistics Branch, DCEG, NCI, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-6787-1105
Robert N HooverOffice of the Director, DCEG, NCI, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0003-4329-4371
Debra T SilvermanOccupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch, DCEG, NCI, NIH Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0001-8894-0301
Susan S Devesa *Infections and Immunology Branch, DCEG, NCI, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0003-3235-4148

Funding

Intramural NIH HHS Z99 CA999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDespite the success of smoking cessation campaigns, lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer death in the U.S. Variations in smoking behavior and lung cancer mortality are evident by sex and region.

methodsApplying geospatial methods to lung cancer mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System and county-level estimates of smoking prevalences from the NCI's Small Area Estimates of Cancer-Related Measures, we evaluated patterns in lung cancer mortality rates (2005-2018) in relation to patterns in ever cigarette smoking prevalences (1997-2003).

resultsOverall, ever smoking spatial patterns were generally associated with lung cancer mortality rates, which were elevated in the Appalachian region and lower in the West for both sexes. However, we also observed geographic variation in mortality rates that is not explained by smoking. Using Lee's L statistic for assessing bivariate spatial association, we identified counties where the ever smoking prevalence was low and lung cancer rates were high. We observed a significant cluster of counties (n = 25; P values ranging from 0.001 to 0.04) with low ever smoking prevalence and high mortality rates among females around the Mississippi River region south of St. Louis, Missouri and a similar and smaller cluster among males in Western Mississippi (n = 12; P values ranging from 0.002 to 0.03) that has not been previously described.

conclusionsOur analyses identified U.S. counties where factors other than smoking may be driving lung cancer mortality. IMPACT: These novel findings highlight areas where investigation of environmental and other risk factors for lung cancer is needed.

Indexed as

Cigarette SmokingLung NeoplasmsAppalachian RegionFemaleHumansMaleMortalityNicotianaRisk FactorsUnited States

Identifiers

PMID36413442
PMCPMC9905286

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.