Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36402904›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2022

An epidemiological model for mosquito host selection and temperature-dependent transmission of West Nile virus.

Augusto Fasano, Nicola Riccetti, Anastasia Angelou, Jaime Gomez-Ramirez, Federico Ferraccioli, Ioannis Kioutsioukis, Nikolaos I Stilianakis

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Augusto Fasano *Joint Research Centre (JRC), European Commission, Via E. Fermi 2749, 21027, Ispra, VA, Italy.
Nicola Riccetti *Joint Research Centre (JRC), European Commission, Via E. Fermi 2749, 21027, Ispra, VA, Italy.
Anastasia AngelouDepartment of Physics, University of Patras, 26504, Rio, Greece.
Jaime Gomez-RamirezJoint Research Centre (JRC), European Commission, Via E. Fermi 2749, 21027, Ispra, VA, Italy.
Federico FerraccioliJoint Research Centre (JRC), European Commission, Via E. Fermi 2749, 21027, Ispra, VA, Italy.
Ioannis KioutsioukisDepartment of Physics, University of Patras, 26504, Rio, Greece. kioutio@upatras.gr.
Nikolaos I StilianakisJoint Research Centre (JRC), European Commission, Via E. Fermi 2749, 21027, Ispra, VA, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We extend a previously developed epidemiological model for West Nile virus (WNV) infection in humans in Greece, employing laboratory-confirmed WNV cases and mosquito-specific characteristics of transmission, such as host selection and temperature-dependent transmission of the virus. Host selection was defined by bird host selection and human host selection, the latter accounting only for the fraction of humans that develop symptoms after the virus is acquired. To model the role of temperature on virus transmission, we considered five temperature intervals (≤ 19.25 °C; > 19.25 and < 21.75 °C; ≥ 21.75 and < 24.25 °C; ≥ 24.25 and < 26.75 °C; and > 26.75 °C). The capacity of the new model to fit human cases and the week of first case occurrence was compared with the original model and showed improved performance. The model was also used to infer further quantities of interest, such as the force of infection for different temperatures as well as mosquito and bird abundances. Our results indicate that the inclusion of mosquito-specific characteristics in epidemiological models of mosquito-borne diseases leads to improved modelling capacity.

Indexed as

CulexCulicidaeWest Nile FeverWest Nile virusAnimalsBirdsEpidemiological ModelsHumansMosquito VectorsTemperature

Identifiers

PMID36402904
PMCPMC9675847

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.