ArticleNature communications2022
Global crop yields can be lifted by timely adaptation of growing periods to climate change.
Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers.
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37 citing papers in PubMed, 227 citations in OpenAlex.
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- Anthropogenic climate change accelerates the onset of global flood timing.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Temperature thresholds of extreme heat-induced yield loss in maize and soybean reveal geographic heterogeneity across the Northern Hemisphere.Nature food · 2026Article
- Future projections of European maize yields using AquaCrop with an adaptive growing season.European journal of agronomy : the journal of the European Society for Agronomy · 2026Article
- Toward water-smart cereal production: a narrative review of agronomic, genetic, and digital innovations for water productivity and climate resilience.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Review
- Integrated transcriptomic and metabolomic analyses reveal biphasic thermal adaptation strategies inPeerJ · 2026Article
- Uncertainties in global hydrological and climate models challenge future estimates of crop water use and sustainability.Communications earth & environment · 2026Article
- TimeTraits: extracting functional traits from biological time-series in R.Bioinformatics advances · 2026Article
- A conceptual framework for simultaneous optimization of integrated climate scenario data and phenology models.Agronomy for sustainable development · 2026Article
- Multidimensional synergistic adaptation enhances the systemic resilience in China's food security.National science review · 2026Review
- From photoperiod thresholds to photoperiod sensitivity: dual strategies for cost-effective speed breeding and climate-ready barley.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Concurrent improvements in maize yield and drought resistance through breeding advances in the U.S.Corn Belt.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Variability in Anthocyanin Expression in Native Maize: PurplePlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Evaluation of the Global White Lupin Collection Reveals Significant Associations Between HomologousInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2025Article
- Modeling impacts of climate-induced yield variability and adaptations on wheat and maize in a sub-tropical monsoon climate - using fuzzy logic.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- A half-century of climate change in major agricultural regions: Trends, impacts, and surprises.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Molecular dissection of the genetic architecture of phenology underlying Lupinus hispanicus early flowering and adaptation to winter- or spring sowing.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Article
- Integrated irrigation and nitrogen optimization is a resource-efficient adaptation strategy for US maize and soybean production.Nature food · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Adaptive management of crop growing periods by adjusting sowing dates and cultivars is one of the central aspects of crop production systems, tightly connected to local climate. However, it is so far underrepresented in crop-model based assessments of yields under climate change. In this study, we integrate models of farmers' decision making with biophysical crop modeling at the global scale to simulate crop calendars adaptation and its effect on crop yields of maize, rice, sorghum, soybean and wheat. We simulate crop growing periods and yields (1986-2099) under counterfactual management scenarios assuming no adaptation, timely adaptation or delayed adaptation of sowing dates and cultivars. We then compare the counterfactual growing periods and corresponding yields at the end of the century (2080-2099). We find that (i) with adaptation, temperature-driven sowing dates (typical at latitudes >30°N-S) will have larger shifts than precipitation-driven sowing dates (at latitudes <30°N-S); (ii) later-maturing cultivars will be needed, particularly at higher latitudes; (iii) timely adaptation of growing periods would increase actual crop yields by ~12%, reducing climate change negative impacts and enhancing the positive CO
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.