Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36400087›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Global health2022

Low-level viraemia among people living with HIV in Nigeria: a retrospective longitudinal cohort study.

Helen M Chun, Andrew Abutu, Kyle Milligan, Akipu Ehoche, Ray W Shiraishi, Solomon Odafe, Ibrahim Dalhatu, Dennis Onotu, McPaul Okoye, Ademola Oladipo and 12 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Global health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. HIV-1 Low-Level Viremia Predicts Viral Failure in Participants on Antiretroviral Therapy in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Helen M ChunDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA. Electronic address: vgi2@cdc.gov.
Andrew AbutuDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Kyle MilliganDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA; Peraton, Herndon, VA, USA.
Akipu EhocheCenter for International Health, Education, and Biosecurity, Maryland Global Initiatives Corporation-an affiliate of the University of Maryland Baltimore, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Ray W ShiraishiDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Solomon OdafeDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Ibrahim DalhatuDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Dennis OnotuDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
McPaul OkoyeDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Ademola OladipoDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Jerry GwamnaDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Akudo IkpeazuNational AIDS/STIs Control Programme (NASCP), Federal Ministry of Health, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Nseobong M AkpanNational AIDS/STIs Control Programme (NASCP), Federal Ministry of Health, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Jahun IbrahimDivision of Program, Nigeria AIDS Control Agency, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Gambo AliyuOffice of the Director General, Nigeria AIDS Control Agency, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Sulaiman AkanmuDepartment of Hematology, Lagos University Teaching Hospital, Idi-Araba, Lagos, Nigeria.
Mary A BoydDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Mahesh SwaminathanDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Tedd EllerbrockDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Kristen A StaffordCenter for International Health, Education, and Biosecurity, Institute of Human Virology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MA, USA.
Emilio DirlikovDivision of Global HIV/TB, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Nigeria Low-Level Viremia Investigation Group
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · USCenter for Global Health · US

Funding

Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHIV transmission can occur with a viral load of at least 200 copies per mL of blood and low-level viraemia can lead to virological failure; the threshold level at which risk for virological failure is conferred is uncertain. To better understand low-level viraemia prevalence and outcomes, we analysed retrospective longitudinal data from a large cohort of people living with HIV on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Nigeria.

methodsIn this retrospective cohort study using previously collected longitudinal patient data, we estimated rates of virological suppression (≤50 copies per mL), low-level viraemia (51-999 copies per mL), virological non-suppression (≥1000 copies per mL), and virological failure (≥2 consecutive virological non-suppression results) among people living with HIV aged 18 years and older who initiated and received at least 24 weeks of ART at 1005 facilities in 18 Nigerian states. We analysed risk for low-level viraemia, virological non-suppression, and virological failure using log-binomial regression and mixed-effects logistic regression.

findingsAt first viral load for 402 668 patients during 2016-21, low-level viraemia was present in 64 480 (16·0%) individuals and virological non-suppression occurred in 46 051 (11·4%) individuals. Patients with low-level viraemia had increased risk of virological failure (adjusted relative risk 2·20, 95% CI 1·98-2·43; p<0·0001). Compared with patients with virological suppression, patients with low-level viraemia, even at 51-199 copies per mL, had increased odds of low-level viraemia and virological non-suppression at next viral load; patients on optimised ART (ie, integrase strand transfer inhibitors) had lower odds than those on non-integrase strand transfer inhibitors for the same low-level viraemia range (eg, viral load ≥1000 copies per mL following viral load 400-999 copies per mL, integrase strand transfer inhibitor: odds ratio 1·96, 95% CI 1·79-2·13; p<0·0001; non-integrase strand transfer inhibitor: 3·21, 2·90-3·55; p<0·0001).

interpretationPatients with low-level viraemia had increased risk of virological non-suppression and failure. Programmes should revise monitoring benchmarks and targets from less than 1000 copies per mL to less than 50 copies per mL to strengthen clinical outcomes and track progress to epidemic control.

fundingNone.

Indexed as

HIV-1HIV InfectionsCohort StudiesHumansLongitudinal StudiesNigeriaRetrospective StudiesViremia

Identifiers

PMID36400087
PMCPMC9711923
OpenAlexW4309107154

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.