Tracheostomy decannulation rates in Japan: a retrospective cohort study using a claims database.

Despite the exponential increase in the use of tracheostomy worldwide, rates of tracheostomy decannulation are unknown. We conducted a retrospective cohort study to investigate tracheostomy decannulation rates among adult patients over a two-year period and explored factors associated with prolonged tracheostomy. A health insurance claims database including 3,758,210 people in Japan was used. The primary outcome was time to decannulation. Assessed patient and hospital factors included age, sex, emergency endotracheal intubation, disease, and hospital size. A total of 917 patients underwent tracheostomy, and 752 met the eligibility criteria. Decannulation rates were 40.8% (95% confidence interval 36.8-44.9) at 3 months, 63.9% (58.4-69.0) at 12 months, and 65.0% (59.2-70.3) at 24 months. Hazard ratios of patient and hospital factors for tracheostomy decannulation were 0.44 for age (65-74 years) (95% confidence interval 0.28-0.68), 0.81 (0.63-1.05) for female sex, and 0.59 (0.45-0.76) for emergency endotracheal intubation. Cerebrovascular disease, head injuries, and cardiac arrest had lower hazard ratios compared to other diseases. Decannulation rates among adult patients in Japan increased rapidly up to 3 months after tracheostomy, reaching a plateau after 12 months. Older age, female sex, emergency endotracheal intubation, cerebrovascular disease, head injuries, and cardiac arrest were associated with prolonged tracheostomy.