Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36396197›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American College of Cardiology2022

Coronary Calcium Scoring Improves Risk Prediction in Patients With Suspected Obstructive Coronary Artery Disease.

Simon Winther, Samuel E Schmidt, Borek Foldyna, Thomas Mayrhofer, Laust D Rasmussen, Jonathan N Dahl, Udo Hoffmann, Pamela S Douglas, Juhani Knuuti, Morten Bøttcher

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
5.2field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 42 citations in OpenAlex.

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  12. Hybridizing machine learning in survival analysis of cardiac PET/CT imaging.Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 5 institutions in 4 countries.

Simon WintherDepartment of Cardiology, Gødstrup Hospital, Herning, Denmark; Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark. Electronic address: sw@dadlnet.dk.
Samuel E SchmidtDepartment of Health Science and Technology, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark.
Borek FoldynaCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital-Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Thomas MayrhoferCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital-Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; School of Business Studies, Stralsund University of Applied Sciences, Stralsund, Germany.
Laust D RasmussenDepartment of Cardiology, Gødstrup Hospital, Herning, Denmark; Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.
Jonathan N DahlDepartment of Cardiology, Gødstrup Hospital, Herning, Denmark; Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.
Udo HoffmannCardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital-Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Pamela S DouglasDuke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Juhani KnuutiHeart Center, Turku University Hospital, Turku, Finland; Turku PET Centre, Turku University Hospital and University of Turku, Turku, Finland.
Morten BøttcherDepartment of Cardiology, Gødstrup Hospital, Herning, Denmark; Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.
Aarhus University · DKHarvard University · USAalborg University · DKDuke University · USUniversity of Turku · FI

Funding

PROMISE Trial: Clinical Coordinating CenterR01HL098237 · NHLBI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI DOUGLAS, PAMELA SUSAN · 2009 to 2014
$27.3M
PROMISE Trial: SDCCR01HL098236 · NHLBI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI LEE, KERRY L · 2009 to 2014
$5.0M
Clinical and Molecular Epidemiology of High Risk Coronary PlaqueR01HL146145 · NHLBI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI DOUGLAS, PAMELA SUSAN, FOLDYNA, BOREK · 2019 to 2022
$4.8M
PROMISE Trial: Dx CoreR01HL098305 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI HOFFMANN, UDO · 2009 to 2014
$3.5M
PROMISE Trial: EQOL Coordinating CenterR01HL098235 · NHLBI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI MARK, DANIEL B · 2009 to 2014
$1.6M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL098235NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL098236NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL098237NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL098305NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL146145
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn patients with suspected obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD), the risk factor-weighted clinical likelihood (RF-CL) model and the coronary artery calcium score-weighted clinical likelihood (CACS-CL) model improves the identification of obstructive CAD compared with basic pretest probability (PTP) models.

objectivesThe aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of the new models.

methodsThe incidences of myocardial infarction and death were stratified according to categories by the RF-CL and CACS-CL and compared with categories by the PTP model. We used cohorts from a Danish register (n = 41,177) and a North American randomized study (n = 3,952). All patients were symptomatic and were referred for diagnostic testing because of clinical indications.

resultsDespite substantial down-reclassification of patients to a likelihood ≤5% of CAD with either the RF-CL (45%) or CACS-CL (60%) models compared with the PTP (18%), the annualized event rates of myocardial infarction and death were low using all 3 models; RF-CL 0.51% (95% CI: 0.46-0.56), CACS-CL 0.48% (95% CI: 0.44-0.56), and PTP 0.37% (95% CI: 0.31-0.44), respectively. Overall, comparison of the predictive power of the 3 models using Harrell's C-statistics demonstrated superiority of the RF-CL (0.64 [95% CI: 0.63-0.65]) and CACS-CL (0.69 [95% CI: 0.67-0.70]) compared with the PTP model (0.61 [95% CI: 0.60-0.62]).

conclusionsThe simple clinical likelihood models that include classical risk factors or risk factors combined with CACS provide improved risk stratification for myocardial infarction and death compared with the standard PTP model. Hence, the optimized RF-CL and CACS-CL models identify 2.5 and 3.3 times more patients, respectively, who may not benefit from further diagnostic testing.

Indexed as

Coronary Artery DiseaseMyocardial InfarctionArteriesCalciumCoronary AngiographyHumansPredictive Value of TestsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsCalciumcoronary artery calcium scorecoronary artery diseasecoronary stenosispretest probabilityrisk factor

Identifiers

PMID36396197
PMCPMC10466200
OpenAlexW4308990226

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.