Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36394182›Full record

ArticlePharmacoepidemiology and drug safety2023

Healthcare system engagement and algorithm-identified cancer incidence following initiation of a new medication.

Monica E D'Arcy, Til Stürmer, Robert S Sandler, John A Baron, Michele L Jonsson-Funk, Melissa A Troester, Jennifer L Lund

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pharmacoepidemiology and drug safety, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Monica E D'ArcyDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1586-9089
Til StürmerDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9204-7177
Robert S SandlerDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
John A BaronDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Michele L Jonsson-FunkDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Melissa A TroesterDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Jennifer L LundDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1108-0689
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USRutgers, The State University of New Jersey · US

Funding

Re-Entry Supplement: Investigation of Oral Microbial Enzymes for the Detection and Treatment of Periodontal DiseaseUL1TR002489 · NCATS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI BUSE, JOHN BERNARD, SHAHEEN, NICHOLAS J · 2018 to 2022
$48.6M
UNC-CH CENTER FOR ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH &SUSCEPTIBILITYP30ES010126 · NIEHS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Melissa A. Troester · 2001 to 2026
$36.3M
UNC Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000083 · NCATS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI RUNGE, MARSCHALL S. · 2012 to 2013
$11.6M
UNC Oncology K12K12CA120780 · NCI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI WILLIAM Y. KIM · 2007 to 2026
$9.6M
LINEBERGER CANCER CONTROL EDUCATION PROGRAMR25CA057726 · NCI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI EARP, JO ANNE L, RIBISL, KURT M. · 1992 to 2016
$8.0M
Propensity scores and preventive drug use in the elderlyR01AG056479 · NIA · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Til Sturmer · 2017 to 2026
$5.0M
Cancer Control Education ProgramT32CA057726 · NCI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Melissa B Gilkey, Melissa A. Troester · 2017 to 2026
$3.7M
Racial Differences in Treatment with Hysterectomy: a Multilevel InvestigationR01MD011680 · NIMHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ROBINSON, WHITNEY RAGAN · 2017 to 2021
$3.3M
Methods for Estimating Sex Differences in Safety and Effectiveness of DrugsR01HL118255 · NHLBI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI JONSSON FUNK, MICHELE LAURA · 2014 to 2017
$1.7M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000083NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002489NCI NIH HHS K12 CA120780NCI NIH HHS R25 CA057726NCI NIH HHS T32 CA057726NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL118255NIA NIH HHS R01 AG056479NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES010126NIMHD NIH HHS R01 MD011680
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeImplausibly high algorithm-identified cancer incidence within a new user study after medication initiation may result from increased healthcare utilization (HU) around initiation ("catch-up care") that increases diagnostic opportunity. Understanding the relationships between HU prior to and around initiation and subsequent cancer rates and timing is important to avoiding protopathic bias.

methodsWe identified a cohort of 417 458 Medicare beneficiaries (2007-2014) aged ≥66 initiating an antihypertensive (AHT) after ≥180 days of non-use. Initiators were stratified into groups of 0, 1, 2-3, and ≥4 outpatient visits (OV) 60-360 days before initiation. We calculated algorithm-identified colorectal cancer (aiCRC) rates stratified by OVs and time since AHT initiation: (0-90, 91-180, 181-365, 366-730, and 731+ days). We summarized HU -360/+60 days around AHT initiation by aiCRC timing: (0-29, 30-89, 90-179, and ≥180 days).

resultsAiCRC incidence (311 per 100 000 overall) peaked in the first 0-90 days, was inversely associated with HU before initiation, and stabilized ≥180 days after AHT initiation. Catch-up care was greatest among persons with aiCRCs identified <30 days in follow-up. Catch-up care magnitude decreased as time to the aiCRC date increased, with aiCRCs identified ≥180 days after AHT initiation exhibiting similar HU compared with the full cohort.

conclusionLower HU before-and increased HU around AHT initiation-seem to drive excess short-term aiCRC incidence. Person-time and case accrual should only begin when incidence stabilizes. When comparison groups within a study differ by HU, outcome-detection bias may exist. Similar observations may exist in other settings when typical HU is delayed (e.g., cancer screening during SARS-CoV-2).

Indexed as

COVID-19NeoplasmsAgedDelivery of Health CareHumansIncidenceMedicareSARS-CoV-2United Statesalgorithmcancerhealthcare deliverynew user studyoutcome detection biasprotopathic bias

Identifiers

PMID36394182
PMCPMC9931672
OpenAlexW4309242759

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.