The value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound quantitative parameters in the prognosis prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma after thermal ablation: a retrospective cohort study.

Background: The postoperative recurrence rate is the main factor affecting the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, this study sought to investigate the value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) quantitative parameters in predicting the recurrence and the survival of HCC patients after thermal ablation. Methods: The data of 97 patients with pathologically diagnosed HCC who underwent thermal ablation were retrospectively included in this study. The patients had an average age of 46.6 years (range, 23-79 years), and 79 were male and 18 were female. CEUS follow-up was performed at 1- and 3-month after thermal ablation, then at 6-month intervals thereafter for 5 years. CEUS was performed before thermal ablation, and the results were analyzed quantitatively using CEUS perfusion software (VueBox Results: The average follow-up duration period was 79 months (range, 5-145 months). The average recurrence time after ablation was 1-127 months, and the median disease-free survival time was 21 months. The 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rates were 96.9%, 92.3%, and 80.6%, respectively. The log-rank tests showed that tumor size, prothrombin time, and WiAUC, WoAUC, and WiWoAUC ratios were predictors of survival, and aspartate aminotransferase was a predictor of recurrence. The Cox regression analysis showed that tumor size [odds ratio (OR): 6.421; 95% CI: 1.434-28.761] and alanine transaminase (OR: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.010-0.742) were predictors of a poor prognosis. Conclusions: CEUS quantitative parameters before thermal ablation and blood laboratory indexes provide potential clinical value for predicting the postoperative recurrence and survival of HCC patients.