Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36355123›Full record

ArticleMetabolites2022

Development and Validation of Risk Prediction Models for Gestational Diabetes Mellitus Using Four Different Methods.

Ning Wang, Haonan Guo, Yingyu Jing, Lin Song, Huan Chen, Mengjun Wang, Lei Gao, Lili Huang, Yanan Song, Bo Sun and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Metabolites, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Artificial Intelligence in Gestational Diabetes Care: A Systematic Review.Journal of diabetes science and technology · 2025
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Ning WangDepartment of Endocrinology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710004, China.
Haonan GuoDepartment of Endocrinology and Second Department of Geriatrics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710061, China.
Yingyu JingDepartment of Endocrinology and Second Department of Geriatrics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710061, China.
Lin SongDepartment of Physiology and Pathophysiology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an 710061, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9500-8387
Huan ChenDepartment of Endocrinology and Second Department of Geriatrics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710061, China.
Mengjun WangDepartment of Physiology and Pathophysiology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an 710061, China.
Lei GaoDepartment of Endocrinology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710004, China.
Lili HuangDepartment of Medical Ultrasound, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710004, China.
Yanan SongDepartment of Endocrinology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710004, China.
Bo SunDepartment of Physiology and Pathophysiology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an 710061, China.
Wei CuiInternational Center for Obesity and Metabolic Disease Research of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710061, China.
Jing XuDepartment of Endocrinology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710004, China.
Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University · CNFirst Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University · CNXi'an Jiaotong University · CNChina North Industries Group Corporation (China) · CN

Funding

Clinical Research Award of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, China No. XJTU1AF-CRF-2019-007Natural Science Foundation for Postdoctoral Scientists of China No. 2018M641001, No. 2016M600799Natural Science Foundation of China No. 81801459; No. 82071732; No. 81741079Natural Science Foundation of Shaanxi Province No. 2020GXLH-Y-029, 2019JQ069, 2019JM262
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), a common perinatal disease, is related to increased risks of maternal and neonatal adverse perinatal outcomes. We aimed to establish GDM risk prediction models that can be widely used in the first trimester using four different methods, including a score-scaled model derived from a meta-analysis using 42 studies, a logistic regression model, and two machine learning models (decision tree and random forest algorithms). The score-scaled model (seven variables) was established via a meta-analysis and a stratified cohort of 1075 Chinese pregnant women from the Northwest Women's and Children's Hospital (NWCH) and showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.772. The logistic regression model (seven variables) was established and validated using the above cohort and showed AUCs of 0.799 and 0.834 for the training and validation sets, respectively. Another two models were established using the decision tree (DT) and random forest (RF) algorithms and showed corresponding AUCs of 0.825 and 0.823 for the training set, and 0.816 and 0.827 for the validation set. The validation of the developed models suggested good performance in a cohort derived from another period. The score-scaled GDM prediction model, the logistic regression GDM prediction model, and the two machine learning GDM prediction models could be employed to identify pregnant women with a high risk of GDM using common clinical indicators, and interventions can be sought promptly.

Indexed as

early pregnancygestational diabetes mellitusprediction modelsrisk factors

Identifiers

PMID36355123
PMCPMC9697464
OpenAlexW4307947112

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.