Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36344933›Full record

Trial reportBMC pulmonary medicine2022

Nomogram for prediction of severe community-acquired pneumonia development in diabetic patients: a multicenter study.

Ruoming Tan, Bing Liu, Chunliu Zhao, Junhai Yan, Tingting Pan, Min Zhou, Hongping Qu

Abstract readRandomized Controlled TrialMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in BMC pulmonary medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ruoming Tan *Department of Critical Care Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Bing Liu *Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Chunliu Zhao *Department of Respiratory Medicine, Ruijin Hospital Luwan Branch, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Junhai YanDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Ruijin Hospital Luwan Branch, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Tingting PanDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Min ZhouDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China. doctor_zhou_99@163.com.
Hongping QuDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China. hongpingqu0412@hotmail.com.

Funding

Cultivation Project of Shanghai Major Infectious Disease Research Base 20dz2210500National Key R&D Program of China 2017YFC1309700National Key R&D Program of China 2017YFC1309705Shanghai Key Laboratory of Emergency Prevention, Diagnosis and Treatment of Respiratory Infectious Diseases 20dz2261100Shanghai Municipal Key Clinical Specialty shslczdzk02202Shanghai Top-Priority Clinical Key Disciplines Construction Project 2017ZZ02014
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDiabetic patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) have an increased risk of progressing to severe CAP. It is essential to develop predictive tools at the onset of the disease for early identification and intervention. This study aimed to develop and validate a clinical feature-based nomogram to identify diabetic patients with CAP at risk of developing severe CAP.

methodA retrospective cohort study was conducted between January 2019 to December 2020. 1026 patients with CAP admitted in 48 hospitals in Shanghai were enrolled. All included patients were randomly divided into the training and validation samples with a ratio of 7:3. The nomogram for the prediction of severe CAP development was established based on the results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis and other predictors with clinical relevance. The nomogram was then assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

resultsMultivariate analysis showed that chronic kidney dysfunction, malignant tumor, abnormal neutrophil count, abnormal lymphocyte count, decreased serum albumin level, and increased HbA1c level at admission was independently associated with progression to severe CAP in diabetic patients. A nomogram was established based on these above risk factors and other predictors with clinical relevance. The area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram was 0.87 (95% CI 0.83-0.90) in the training set and 0.84 (95% CI 0.78-0.90). The calibration curve showed excellent agreement between the predicted possibility by the nomogram and the actual observation. The decision curve analysis indicated that the nomogram was applicable with a wide range of threshold probabilities due to the net benefit.

conclusionOur nomogram can be applied to estimate early the probabilities of severe CAP development in diabetic patients with CAP, which has good prediction accuracy and discrimination abilities. Since included biomarkers are common, our findings may be performed well in clinical practice and improve the early management of diabetic patients with CAP.

Indexed as

Community-Acquired InfectionsDiabetes MellitusPneumoniaChinaHumansNomogramsRetrospective StudiesDiabetes mellitusNomogramPredictionSevere community-acquired pneumonia

Identifiers

PMID36344933
PMCPMC9640903

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.