Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36344529›Full record

ArticleNPJ vaccines2022

Predicting vaccine effectiveness against invasive pneumococcal disease in children using immunogenicity data.

Josiah Ryman, Jessica Weaver, Tianyan Hu, Daniel M Weinberger, Ka Lai Yee, Jeffrey R Sachs

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ vaccines, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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  6. [The new 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for the prevention ofJournal of preventive medicine and hygiene · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Josiah RymanQuantitative Pharmacology and Pharmacometrics, Merck & Co., Inc, Rahway, NJ, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7692-4432
Jessica WeaverCenter for Observational and Real-World Evidence, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA. jessica.weaver@merck.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9861-3328
Tianyan HuCenter for Observational and Real-World Evidence, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA.
Daniel M WeinbergerDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Ka Lai YeeQuantitative Pharmacology and Pharmacometrics, Merck & Co., Inc, Rahway, NJ, USA.
Jeffrey R SachsQuantitative Pharmacology and Pharmacometrics, Merck & Co., Inc, Rahway, NJ, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5725-558X
Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA (United States) · USYale University · US

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation) OPP1176267NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The strength of the immune response, as measured by antibody concentrations, varies between pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs). Linking immunogenicity and effectiveness is necessary to assess whether changes in immune response from currently recommended PCVs to next-generation vaccines could impact effectiveness. Simulated reverse cumulative distribution curves were generated using published serotype-specific IgG concentrations with placebo or PCV7. This was combined with the published estimates of serotype-specific vaccine effectiveness of PCV7 against invasive pneumococcal disease to estimate the protective antibody concentration for each serotype in PCV7. Then, based on the published serotype-specific IgG concentrations in PCV13 recipients, reverse cumulative distribution curves were generated for the serotypes shared between PCV13 and PCV7. These estimated protective antibody concentration values were then used to predict the vaccine effectiveness of PCV13. The results were compared to published aggregate values for vaccine effectiveness. The aggregate median predicted vaccine effectiveness values were similar to previously reported observed values for the United Kingdom (93% versus 90%), Australia (71% versus 70%), and Germany (91% versus 90%). These results demonstrate that IgG concentrations of next-generation PCVs can be used to generate reliable estimates of vaccine effectiveness for serotypes shared with established PCVs.

Identifiers

PMID36344529
PMCPMC9640717
OpenAlexW4308448391

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.