Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36343998›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2022

Socioeconomic status and modification of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk prediction: epidemiological analysis using data from the atherosclerosis risk in communities study.

Kamal Henderson, Brystana Kaufman, Jason S Rotter, Sally Stearns, Carla A A Sueta, Randi Foraker, P Michael Ho, Patricia P Chang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Kamal HendersonCardiology Section, Rocky Mountain Regional VA Medical Center, Aurora, Colorado, USA kamal.henderson@cuanschutz.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-7999-966X
Brystana KaufmanDepartment of Population Health Sciences, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6553-0406
Jason S RotterMathematica Policy Research Inc, Washington, District of Columbia, USA.
Sally StearnsHealth Policy & Management, University of North Carolina, Gillings School of Global Public Health, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Carla A A SuetaDepartment of Cardiology, University of North Carolina, School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Randi ForakerDivision of General Medical Sciences, Washington University, School of Medicine, St Louis, Missouri, USA.
P Michael HoCardiology Section, Rocky Mountain Regional VA Medical Center, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Patricia P ChangDepartment of Cardiology, University of North Carolina, School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USUniversity of Colorado Denver · USDuke University · USMathematica Policy Research · USWashington University in St. Louis · US

Funding

NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700001CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700001INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700002CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700002INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700003CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700003INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700004CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700004INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700005CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700005I
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveExamine whether the relationship between the pooled cohort equations (PCE) predicted 10-year risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and absolute risk for ASCVD is modified by socioeconomic status (SES).

designPopulation-based longitudinal cohort study-Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC)-investigating the development of cardiovascular disease across demographic subgroups.

settingFour communities in the USA-Forsyth County, North Carolina, Jackson, Mississippi, suburbs of Minneapolis, Minnesota and Washington County, Maryland.

participantsWe identified 9782 ARIC men and women aged 54-73 without ASCVD at study visit 4 (1996-1998). PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Risk ratio (RR) differences in 10-year incident hospitalisations or death for ASCVD by SES and PCE predicted 10-year ASCVD risk categories to assess for risk modification. SES measures included educational attainment and census-tract neighbourhood deprivation using the Area Deprivation Index. PCE risk categories were 0%-5%, >5%-10%, >10%-15% and >15%. SES as a prognostic factor to estimate ASCVD absolute risk categories was further investigated as an interaction term with the PCE.

resultsASCVD RRs for participants without a high school education (referent college educated) increased at higher PCE estimated risk categories and was consistently >1. Results indicate education is both a risk modifier and delineates populations at higher ASCVD risk independent of PCE. Neighbourhood deprivation did modify association but was less consistent in direction of effect. However, for participants residing in the most deprived neighbourhoods (referent least deprived neighbourhoods) with a PCE estimated risk >10%-15%, risk was significantly elevated (RR 1.65, 95% CI 1.05 to 2.59). Education and neighbourhood deprivation inclusion as an interaction term on the PCE risk score was statistically significant (likelihood ratio p≤0.0001).

conclusionsSES modifies the association between PCE estimated risk and absolute risk of ASCVD. SES added into ASCVD risk prediction models as an interaction term may improve our ability to predict absolute ASCVD risk among socially disadvantaged populations.

Indexed as

AtherosclerosisCardiovascular DiseasesFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSocial Classcardiac epidemiologycoronary heart diseaseepidemiologypreventive medicinepublic healthsocial medicine

Identifiers

PMID36343998
PMCPMC9644311
OpenAlexW4308436150

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.