ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2022
Activity-adjusted crime rates show that public safety worsened in 2020.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- The effect of citywide improvement in street lighting on the use of public space by community residents.Justice quarterly : JQ · 2026Article
- Review
- Mobility Network-based Measurement of Local Collective Efficacy and its Consequences for the Spatial Patterning of Violent Crime.Journal of quantitative criminology · 2026Article
- Activity-adjusted crime rates show that public safety worsened in 2020.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
This paper argues that changes in human activity during the COVID-19 pandemic led to an unusual divergence between crime rates and victimization risk in US cities. Most violent crimes declined during the pandemic. However, analysis using data on activity shows that the risk of street crime victimization was elevated throughout 2020. People in public spaces were 15 to 30% more likely to be robbed or assaulted. This increase is unlikely to be explained by changes in crime reporting or selection into outdoor activities by potential victims. Traditional crime rates may present a misleading view of the recent changes in public safety.
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Registered trials
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