Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36343186›Full record

ArticleJournal of medical Internet research2022

Evolution of Public Opinion on COVID-19 Vaccination in Japan: Large-Scale Twitter Data Analysis.

Ryota Kobayashi, Yuka Takedomi, Yuri Nakayama, Towa Suda, Takeaki Uno, Takako Hashimoto, Masashi Toyoda, Naoki Yoshinaga, Masaru Kitsuregawa, Luis E C Rocha

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of medical Internet research, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. When Infodemic Meets Epidemic: Systematic Literature Review.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2025
    Pooled it
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  11. Two pills and women's health in Japan.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Ryota Kobayashi *Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-3935-5701
Yuka Takedomi *Principles of Informatics Research Division, National Institute of Informatics, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-3016-7576
Yuri Nakayama *Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-6543-7455
Towa Suda *Principles of Informatics Research Division, National Institute of Informatics, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-8291-7052
Takeaki UnoPrinciples of Informatics Research Division, National Institute of Informatics, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-7274-279X
Takako HashimotoFaculty of Commerce and Economics, Chiba University of Commerce, Ichikawa, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-7762-8336
Masashi ToyodaInstitute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-9473-5531
Naoki YoshinagaInstitute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-2160-2604
Masaru KitsuregawaInstitute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-4027-2994
Luis E C RochaDepartment of Economics, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-9046-8739

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundVaccines are promising tools to control the spread of COVID-19. An effective vaccination campaign requires government policies and community engagement, sharing experiences for social support, and voicing concerns about vaccine safety and efficiency. The increasing use of online social platforms allows us to trace large-scale communication and infer public opinion in real time.

objectiveThis study aimed to identify the main themes in COVID-19 vaccine-related discussions on Twitter in Japan and track how the popularity of the tweeted themes evolved during the vaccination campaign. Furthermore, we aimed to understand the impact of critical social events on the popularity of the themes.

methodsWe collected more than 100 million vaccine-related tweets written in Japanese and posted by 8 million users (approximately 6.4% of the Japanese population) from January 1 to October 31, 2021. We used Latent Dirichlet Allocation to perform automated topic modeling of tweet text during the vaccination campaign. In addition, we performed an interrupted time series regression analysis to evaluate the impact of 4 critical social events on public opinion.

resultsWe identified 15 topics grouped into the following 4 themes: (1) personal issue, (2) breaking news, (3) politics, and (4) conspiracy and humor. The evolution of the popularity of themes revealed a shift in public opinion, with initial sharing of attention over personal issues (individual aspect), collecting information from news (knowledge acquisition), and government criticism to focusing on personal issues. Our analysis showed that the Tokyo Olympic Games affected public opinion more than other critical events but not the course of vaccination. Public opinion about politics was significantly affected by various social events, positively shifting attention in the early stages of the vaccination campaign and negatively shifting attention later.

conclusionsThis study showed a striking shift in public interest in Japan, with users splitting their attention over various themes early in the vaccination campaign and then focusing only on personal issues, as trust in vaccines and policies increased. An interrupted time series regression analysis showed that the vaccination rollout to the general population (under 65 years) increased the popularity of tweets about practical advice and personal vaccination experience, and the Tokyo Olympic Games disrupted public opinion but not the course of the vaccination campaign. The methodology developed here allowed us to monitor the evolution of public opinion and evaluate the impact of social events on public opinion, using large-scale Twitter data.

Indexed as

COVID-19Social MediaCOVID-19 VaccinesHumansJapanPublic OpinionVaccinationCOVID-19 VaccinesCOVID-19interrupted time series regressionlongitudinal studypublic opinionsocial eventstopic dynamicstopic modelingTwittervaccinationvaccine

Identifiers

PMID36343186
PMCPMC9856430

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.