Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36342619›Full record

Trial reportTargeted oncology2022

Methods for Estimating Long-Term Outcomes for Trastuzumab Deruxtecan in HER2-Positive Unresectable or Metastatic Breast Cancer After Two or More Anti-HER2 Therapies.

Kyle Dunton, Gerard Vondeling, Elizabeth Hancock, Margaret Petrou, Oliver Burn, Abby Paine

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase II
In one paragraph

Trial report in Targeted oncology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03248492 (A Phase 2, Multicenter, Open-Label Study of DS-8201a, an Anti-HER2-Antibody Drug Conjugate), which is not on this map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact, top 78% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03248492 phase2terminatednot on this map

A Phase 2, Multicenter, Open-Label Study of DS-8201a, an Anti-HER2-Antibody Drug Conjugate (ADC) for HER2-Positive, Unresectable and/or Metastatic Breast Cancer Subjects Previously Treated With T-DM1 (DESTINY-Breast01)

TypeinterventionalSponsorDaiichi SankyoRan2017 to 2024Enrolled253ConditionsBreast CancerArmsDS-8201a
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed, 0 citations in OpenAlex.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Kyle DuntonDaiichi Sankyo, Europe GmbH, Munich, Germany. Kyle.Dunton@daiichi-sankyo.eu.
Gerard VondelingDaiichi Sankyo, Europe GmbH, Munich, Germany.
Elizabeth HancockSource Health Economics, London, UK.
Margaret PetrouSource Health Economics, London, UK.
Oliver BurnSource Health Economics, London, UK.
Abby PaineZedediah Consulting on behalf of Source Health Economics, Wokingham, UK.
Office Of Health Economics · GBDaiichi Sankyo (Germany) · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDESTINY-Breast01 (NCT03248492) is a phase II single-arm trial evaluating trastuzumab deruxtecan (T-DXd) in adults with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive (HER2+) unresectable or metastatic breast cancer (u/mBC) who have received two or more prior anti-HER2 therapies.

objectivesObjectives were to explore approaches for estimating long-term overall survival (OS) with T-DXd from immature data (June 2020 data-cut; median follow-up 20.5 months), and compare predicted long-term outcomes with UK-recommended non-targeted therapies eribulin, capecitabine, and vinorelbine.

methodsTwo methods were used to model T-DXd long-term OS: (1) applying a hazard ratio (HR) to the OS curve for another HER2 targeted therapy (third-line trastuzumab emtansine [T-DM1]) with longer trial follow-up; and (2) extrapolating T-DXd OS data directly. Comparator OS was based on direct extrapolation of published data (comparison with vinorelbine OS was not possible). Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were calculated using a previously published model of utility.

resultsBoth extrapolation methods demonstrated longer mean/median OS with T-DXd versus eribulin, and capecitabine (44.7/32.9 months [applying an HR to the T-DM1 OS curve]; 47.7/29.9 months [using direct extrapolation]; vs 11.3/9.2, and 17.8/13.6 months, respectively), translating to 2.3, 2.3, 0.6, and 0.9 discounted QALYs.

conclusionAlternative methods produced consistent results, showing T-DXd is associated with substantial gains in OS and QALYs versus eribulin, and capecitabine. Modelled median OS results were similar to a later data-cut (median of 29.1 months, March 2021 data-cut). The modelling approach in which an HR was applied to the T-DM1 OS curve informed a submission to the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsAdo-Trastuzumab EmtansineAdultAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedCamptothecinCapecitabineErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesFemaleFuransHumansImmunoconjugatesKetonesPolyether PolyketidesTrastuzumabVinorelbineAdo-Trastuzumab EmtansineAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedCamptothecinCapecitabineErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinaseseribulinFuransImmunoconjugatesKetonesPolyether PolyketidesTrastuzumabtrastuzumab deruxtecanVinorelbine

Identifiers

PMID36342619
PMCPMC9684219
OpenAlexW4308365396

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.