Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36341895›Full record

ArticleRenal failure2022

Development and deployment of interpretable machine-learning model for predicting in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with acute kidney disease.

Mingxia Li, Qinghe Zhuang, Shuangping Zhao, Li Huang, Chenghuan Hu, Buyao Zhang, Qinlan Hou

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Renal failure, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Mingxia LiDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6567-6632
Qinghe ZhuangSchool of Computer Science and Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, China.
Shuangping ZhaoDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, China.
Li HuangDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, China.
Chenghuan HuDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, China.
Buyao ZhangDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, China.
Qinlan HouDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, China.
Central South University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAcute kidney injury (AKI) is more likely to develop in the elderly admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Acute kidney disease (AKD) affects ∼45% of patients with AKI and increases short-term mortality. However, there are no studies on the prognosis of AKD in the elderly.

methodsData from 2666 elderly patients with AKD in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV were used for model development and 535 in the eICU Collaborative Research Database for external validation. Based on 5 machine learning algorithms, 33 noninvasive parameters were extracted as features for modeling.

resultsIn-hospital mortality of AKD in the elderly was 29.6% and 31.8% in development and validation cohorts, respectively. The comprehensive best-performing algorithm was the support vector machine (SVM), and a simplified online application included only 10 features employing SVM (AUC: 0.810 and 0.776 in the training and external validation cohorts, respectively) was deployed. Model interpretation by SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) values revealed that the difference (AKD day - ICU day) in sequential organ failure assessment (delta SOFA), Glasgow coma scale (GCS), delta GCS, delta peripheral oxygen saturation (SpO2), and SOFA were the top five features associated with prognosis. The optimal target was determined by SHAP values from partial dependence plots.

conclusionsA web-based tool was externally validated and deployed to predict the early prognosis of AKD in the elderly based on readily available noninvasive parameters, assisting clinicians in intervening with precision and purpose to save lives to the greatest extent.

Indexed as

Acute Kidney InjuryMachine LearningAcute DiseaseAgedHospital MortalityHumansIntensive Care UnitsAcute kidney diseaseelderly patientsin-hospital mortalitymachine learningnoninvasive parameters

Identifiers

PMID36341895
PMCPMC9645285
OpenAlexW4308480458

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.