Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36341222›Full record

ArticleJACC. Asia2021

Photoplethysmography-Based Machine Learning Approaches for Atrial Fibrillation Prediction: A Report From the Huawei Heart Study.

Yutao Guo, Hao Wang, Hui Zhang, Tong Liu, Luping Li, Lingjie Liu, Maolin Chen, Yundai Chen, Gregory Y H Lip

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JACC. Asia, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
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  6. A comprehensive guide to digital neurology. An update on current development on digital neurology derived from the Digital Neuro Hub project.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2025
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
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  10. Article
  11. Review
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  13. Article
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  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. [Artificial intelligence in wearable electrocardiogram monitoring].Sheng wu yi xue gong cheng xue za zhi = Journal of biomedical engineering = Shengwu yixue gongchengxue zazhi · 2023
    Article
  18. [Application of photoplethysmography for atrial fibrillation in early warning, diagnosis and integrated management].Sheng wu yi xue gong cheng xue za zhi = Journal of biomedical engineering = Shengwu yixue gongchengxue zazhi · 2023
    Review
  19. Review
  20. Machine Learning and the Conundrum of Stroke Risk Prediction.Arrhythmia & electrophysiology review · 2023
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Yutao GuoDepartment of Pulmonary Vessel and Thrombotic Disease, Sixth Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Hao WangDepartment of Cardiology, Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Hui ZhangDepartment of Pulmonary Vessel and Thrombotic Disease, Sixth Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Tong LiuTianjin Key Laboratory of Ionic-Molecular Function of Cardiovascular Disease, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.
Luping LiHuawei Technologies Co, Shenzhen, China.
Lingjie LiuHuawei Technologies Co, Shenzhen, China.
Maolin ChenHuawei Technologies Co, Shenzhen, China.
Yundai ChenDepartment of Pulmonary Vessel and Thrombotic Disease, Sixth Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Gregory Y H LipLiverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom.
Chinese PLA General Hospital · CNHuawei Technologies (China) · CNSecond Hospital of Tianjin Medical University · CNUniversity of Liverpool · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Current wearable devices enable the detection of atrial fibrillation (AF), but a machine learning (ML)-based approach may facilitate accurate prediction of AF onset. Objectives: The present study aimed to develop, optimize, and validate an ML-based model for real-time prediction of AF onset in a population at high risk of incident AF. Methods: A primary ML-based prediction model of AF onset (M1) was developed on the basis of the Huawei Heart Study, a general-population AF screening study using photoplethysmography (PPG)-based smart devices. After optimization in 554 individuals with 469,267 PPG data sets, the optimized ML-based model (M2) was further prospectively validated in 50 individuals with paroxysmal AF at high risk of AF onset, and compared with 72-hour Holter electrocardiographic (ECG) monitoring, a criterion standard, from September 1, 2019, to November 5, 2019. Results: Among 50 patients with paroxysmal AF (mean age 67 ± 12 years, 40% women), there were 2,808 AF events from a total of 14,847,356 ECGs over 72 hours and 6,860 PPGs (45.83 ± 13.9 per subject per day). The best performance of M1 for AF onset prediction was achieved 4 hours before AF onset (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.94; 95% confidence interval: 0.93-0.94). M2 sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy (at 0 to 4 hours before AF onset) were 81.9%, 96.6%, 96.4%, 83.1%, and 88.9%, respectively, compared with 72-hour Holter ECG. Conclusions: The PPG- based ML model demonstrated good ability for AF prediction in advance. (Mobile Health [mHealth] technology for improved screening, patient involvement and optimizing integrated care in atrial fibrillation; ChiCTR-OOC-17014138).

Indexed as

AF, atrial fibrillationartificial intelligenceatrial fibrillationAUC, area under receiver operating characteristic curveECG, electrocardiographymachine learningNPV, negative predictive valuePPG, photoplethysmographyPPV, positive predictive valuerisk predictionROC, receiver operating characteristic

Identifiers

PMID36341222
PMCPMC9627828
OpenAlexW4200176830

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.