Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36333475›Full record

ArticleInfectious diseases and therapy2023

Machine Learning Successfully Detects Patients with COVID-19 Prior to PCR Results and Predicts Their Survival Based on Standard Laboratory Parameters in an Observational Study.

Filip Styrzynski, Damir Zhakparov, Marco Schmid, Damian Roqueiro, Zuzanna Lukasik, Julia Solek, Jakub Nowicki, Milosz Dobrogowski, Joanna Makowska, Milena Sokolowska and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Infectious diseases and therapy, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Filip Styrzynski *Department of Rheumatology with Subdepartment of Internal Medicine, Medical University of Lodz, 90-419, Lodz, Poland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5831-0568
Damir Zhakparov *Swiss Institute of Allergy and Asthma Research (SIAF), University of Zurich, Herman-Burchard-Strasse 9, 7265, Davos, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7175-0843
Marco SchmidUniversity of Applied Sciences of the Grisons, 7000, Chur, Switzerland.
Damian RoqueiroSwiss Institute of Bioinformatics, Lausanne, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9195-5915
Zuzanna LukasikDepartment of Rheumatology with Subdepartment of Internal Medicine, Medical University of Lodz, 90-419, Lodz, Poland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9551-3578
Julia SolekDepartment of Pathology, Chair of Oncology, Medical University of Lodz, 90-419, Lodz, Poland.
Jakub NowickiDepartment of Paediatrics, Newborn Pathology and Bone Metabolic Diseases, Medical University of Lodz, 90-419, Lodz, Poland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9483-4211
Milosz DobrogowskiMaria Sklodowska-Curie Specialty Voivodeship Hospital, 95-100, Zgierz, Poland.
Joanna Makowska *Department of Rheumatology with Subdepartment of Internal Medicine, Medical University of Lodz, 90-419, Lodz, Poland. joanna.makowska@umed.lodz.pl.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2036-375X
Milena Sokolowska *Swiss Institute of Allergy and Asthma Research (SIAF), University of Zurich, Herman-Burchard-Strasse 9, 7265, Davos, Switzerland. milena.sokolowska@siaf.uzh.ch.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9710-6685
Katja Baerenfaller *Swiss Institute of Allergy and Asthma Research (SIAF), University of Zurich, Herman-Burchard-Strasse 9, 7265, Davos, Switzerland. katja.baerenfaller@siaf.uzh.ch.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1904-9440
Medical University of Lodz · PLSIB Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics · CHUniversity of Zurich · CHUniversity of Applied Sciences of the Grisons · CH

Funding

Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung 310030_189334
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionIn the current COVID-19 pandemic, clinicians require a manageable set of decisive parameters that can be used to (i) rapidly identify SARS-CoV-2 positive patients, (ii) identify patients with a high risk of a fatal outcome on hospital admission, and (iii) recognize longitudinal warning signs of a possible fatal outcome.

methodsThis comparative study was performed in 515 patients in the Maria Skłodowska-Curie Specialty Voivodeship Hospital in Zgierz, Poland. The study groups comprised 314 patients with COVID-like symptoms who tested negative and 201 patients who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection; of the latter, 72 patients with COVID-19 died and 129 were released from hospital. Data on which we trained several machine learning (ML) models included clinical findings on admission and during hospitalization, symptoms, epidemiological risk, and reported comorbidities and medications.

resultsWe identified a set of eight on-admission parameters: white blood cells, antibody-synthesizing lymphocytes, ratios of basophils/lymphocytes, platelets/neutrophils, and monocytes/lymphocytes, procalcitonin, creatinine, and C-reactive protein. The medical decision tree built using these parameters differentiated between SARS-CoV-2 positive and negative patients with up to 90-100% accuracy. Patients with COVID-19 who on hospital admission were older, had higher procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, and troponin I levels together with lower hemoglobin and platelets/neutrophils ratio were found to be at highest risk of death from COVID-19. Furthermore, we identified longitudinal patterns in C-reactive protein, white blood cells, and D dimer that predicted the disease outcome.

conclusionsOur study provides sets of easily obtainable parameters that allow one to assess the status of a patient with SARS-CoV-2 infection, and the risk of a fatal disease outcome on hospital admission and during the course of the disease.

Indexed as

COVID-19 prognosisLaboratory parametersMachine learningPredictive featuresSARS-CoV-2 diagnosis

Identifiers

PMID36333475
PMCPMC9638383
OpenAlexW4308361138

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.