Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36329827›Full record

ArticleRisk management and healthcare policy2022

Development and Validation of a Coronary Heart Disease Risk Prediction Model in Snorers with Hypertension: A Retrospective Observed Study.

Mengru Wang, Menghui Wang, Qing Zhu, Xiaoguang Yao, Mulalibieke Heizhati, Xintian Cai, Yue Ma, Run Wang, Jing Hong, Ling Yao and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Risk management and healthcare policy, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Mengru Wang *Hypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0003-1450-2063
Menghui Wang *Hypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.
Qing ZhuHypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.
Xiaoguang YaoHypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.
Mulalibieke HeizhatiHypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.
Xintian CaiHypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0003-3172-1540
Yue MaHypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.
Run WangHypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.
Jing HongHypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.
Ling YaoHypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.
Le SunHypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.
Na YueHypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.
Yingli RenHypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.
Nanfang LiHypertension Center, Xinjiang Hypertension Institute, National Health Committee Key Laboratory of Hypertension Clinical Research, Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Clinical Medical Research Center for Hypertension Diseases, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0003-1505-8566

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Purpose: To develop and validate a risk prediction model for coronary heart disease (CHD) in snorers with hypertension, including traditional and new risk factors. Patients and Methods: Twenty factors were evaluated in the records of 2810 snorers with hypertension. Training (70%) and validation (30%) sets were created by random allocation of data, and a new nomogram model was developed. The model's discrimination and calibration were measured by calculating the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) and creating calibration charts. The performance of the nomogram model was compared with that of the Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China (China-PAR) and Framingham models by decision curve analysis. An optimal cutoff point for the risk score in the training set was computed to stratify patients. Results: In the nomogram model, the AUCs for predicting CHD at 5, 7 and 9 years in the training set were 0.706 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.649-0.763), 0.703 (95% CI 0.655-0.751) and 0.669 (95% CI 0.593-0.744), respectively. The respective AUCs were 0.682 (95% CI 0.607-0.758), 0.689 (95% CI 0.618-0.760) and 0.664 (95% CI 0.539-0.789) in the validation set. The calibration chart showed that the predicted events from the nomogram score were close to the observed events. Decision curve analysis indicated that the nomogram score was slightly better than the Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China (China-PAR) and Framingham models for predicting the risk of CHD in snorers with hypertension. A cutoff point was identified for being CHD-free (a nomogram score of ≤121), which could be helpful for the early identification of individuals at high-risk of CHD. Conclusion: The nomogram score predicts the risk probability of CHD in snorers with hypertension at 5, 7 and 9 years, and shows good capability in terms of discrimination and calibration. It may be a useful tool for identifying individuals at high risk of CHD.

Indexed as

coronary heart diseasehypertensionprediction modelsnorer

Identifiers

PMID36329827
PMCPMC9624218

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.