Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36329082›Full record

Observational studyScientific reports2022

Excess all-cause mortality in the USA and Europe during the COVID-19 pandemic, 2020 and 2021.

Lauren M Rossen, Sarah K Nørgaard, Paul D Sutton, Tyra G Krause, Farida B Ahmad, Lasse S Vestergaard, Kåre Mølbak, Robert N Anderson, Jens Nielsen

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  17. The faces of Long-COVID: interplay of symptom burden with socioeconomic, behavioral and healthcare factors.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Lauren M RossenNational Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 3311 Toledo Road, Hyattsville, MD, 20782, USA. lrossen@cdc.gov.
Sarah K NørgaardInfectious Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Paul D SuttonNational Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 3311 Toledo Road, Hyattsville, MD, 20782, USA.
Tyra G KrauseInfectious Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Farida B AhmadNational Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 3311 Toledo Road, Hyattsville, MD, 20782, USA.
Lasse S VestergaardInfectious Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Kåre MølbakInfectious Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Robert N AndersonNational Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 3311 Toledo Road, Hyattsville, MD, 20782, USA.
Jens NielsenInfectious Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Both the USA and Europe experienced substantial excess mortality in 2020 and 2021 related to the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods used to estimate excess mortality vary, making comparisons difficult. This retrospective observational study included data on deaths from all causes occurring in the USA and 25 European countries or subnational areas participating in the network for European monitoring of excess mortality for public health action (EuroMOMO). We applied the EuroMOMO algorithm to estimate excess all-cause mortality in the USA and Europe during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic, 2020-2021, and compared excess mortality by age group and time periods reflecting three primary waves. During 2020-2021, the USA experienced 154.5 (95% Uncertainty Interval [UI]: 154.2-154.9) cumulative age-standardized excess all-cause deaths per 100,000 person years, compared with 110.4 (95% UI: 109.9-111.0) for the European countries. Excess all-cause mortality in the USA was higher than in Europe for nearly all age groups, with an additional 44.1 excess deaths per 100,000 person years overall from 2020-2021. If the USA had experienced an excess mortality rate similar to Europe, there would have been approximately 391 thousand (36%) fewer excess deaths in the USA.

Indexed as

COVID-19AlgorithmsEuropeHumansMortalityPandemicsPublic HealthUnited States

Identifiers

PMID36329082
PMCPMC9630804

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.