Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36319580›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical laboratory analysis2022

A lung cancer risk prediction model for nonsmokers: A retrospective analysis of lung nodule cohorts in China.

Zufang Liao, Rongjiong Zheng, Guofeng Shao

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical laboratory analysis, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 22% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Zufang LiaoThe Affiliated Lihuili Hospital, Ningbo University, Ningbo, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8221-2634
Rongjiong ZhengNingbo Yinzhou No. 2 Hospital, Ningbo, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0702-0293
Guofeng ShaoDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Li Huili Hospital Affiliated to Ningbo University, Ningbo, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5609-7196
Ningbo University · CNNingbo No. 2 Hospital · CN

Funding

Basic Public Welfare Projects in Zhejiang province LGF19H020004Natural Science Foundation of Ningbo 2019C50069Natural Science Foundation of Ningbo 202003N4269Ningbo Health Branding Subject Fund PPXK2018-01Zhejiang Province Medical and Health Project 2017ZD026Zhejiang Province Medical and Health Project 2020KY273
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe risk of lung cancer in nonsmokers is increasing; however, there are relatively few studies on the risks of lung cancer in nonsmokers. PATIENTS AND

methodsWe collected epidemiological and clinical data from 429 nonsmoking patients with lung nodules from the Affiliated Li Huili Hospital as a training cohort and 123 nonsmoking patients with lung nodules as a testing cohort. We identified variables that might be related to malignant lung nodules from 27 variables by performing least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses of these variables were conducted using binary logistic regression. Significant variables were used to generate a lung cancer risk prediction model for nodules in nonsmokers.

resultsWe successfully constructed a predictive nomogram incorporating density, ground-glass opacities, pulmonary nodule size, hypertension, plasma fibrinogen levels, and blood urea nitrogen. This model exhibited good discriminative ability, with a C-index value of 0.788 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.742-0.833) in the training cohort and 0.888 (95% CI: 0.835-0.941) in the testing cohort; it was well-calibrated in both cohorts. Decision curve analyses supported the clinical value of this predictive nomogram when used at a lung cancer possibility threshold of 18%. Ten-fold cross-validation indicated good stability and accuracy of the model (kappa = 0.416 ± 0.128; accuracy = 0.751 ± 0.056; area under the curve = 0.768 ± 0.049).

conclusionOur risk model can reasonably predict the risks of lung cancer in nonsmoking Chinese patients with lung nodules.

Indexed as

Lung NeoplasmsNon-SmokersHumansLungRetrospective StudiesTomography, X-Ray Computedlung cancermodelnonsmokerspulmonary nodules

Identifiers

PMID36319580
PMCPMC9701897
OpenAlexW4307971818

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.